Commodities Analysis and Opinion
WTI Crude Oil Hits Buy Zone: Key Levels to Watch for a Long Entry
2024.07.22 05:38
Last session low and high for the AUGUST contract are in the range of $80.07 – $82.88. (To compare the spread with the contract that you trade).
- WTI Crude August crashed as far as strong support at 8020/7980.
A low for the day exactly as predicted and longs need stops below 7920 on Monday.
Targets: 8070, 8100, 8130. - A break below 7920 is a sell signal targeting 7850 and possibly 7750/7700.
Gold
- collapsed last week in a counter-trend move and although I have a rule to never trade against the trend, I had to take a break below 2440 as a sell signal.
- Shorts worked as we hit our targets of 2436/31, 2415 and even a buying opportunity at 2410/05.
However longs needed stops below 2399 and we tumbled as far as 2393 on a day when Gold lost over $50 in value, or over 2%.
Gold lost $90 or almost 4% in total from Wednesday’s new all-time high at 2483 without any warning – although we did reverse from the 3-month trend line you see in the daily chart. - Gold now sits in the middle of the $180 range and holding what should be resistance at 2405/10 keeps the pressure on for a test of support at 2390/85.
longs need stops below 2382. - A break below 2382 (and shorts need stops above 2392) is a sell signal targeting 2365/60 for profit-taking.
I think the best sell opportunity is at 2415/2420 and shorts need stops above 2425.
A break higher however can target 2440.
Silver
- we wrote: is on the way to my target of 2930/20 and could even reach 2900/2890 today for profit taking on any remaining shorts before the weekend.
Silver hit my target of 2900/2890 as predicted and made a low for the day at 2895.
- Minor resistance at 2950/60m could hold a bounce in the morning but the best sell opportunity is at 2995/3005 and shorts need stops above 3015.
Targets: - We could meet support again at 2895/85 although I do not think this will hold for too long. A break below 2880 targets a buying opportunity at 2850/40 and longs need stops below 2820.