Commodities Analysis and Opinion

Oil Rebounds, Gold Softens

2022.12.13 13:01


MarketPulse

Oil

prices are rising on hopes China’s demand situation will quickly improve and on concerns that supplies will be kept tight by both Russia and OPEC. China’s reopening is coming; it won’t happen overnight, but it will provide a major boost to demand in the outlook for next quarter. ​

Oil has too much support at the $70 level, suggesting that the recent change in China’s approach to fighting COVID could support a rally toward the $80 level. ​

Gold

prices are settling below the $1800 level as traders await both a key report and the Fed . ​Gold has had a strong performance recently as traders widely believe that inflation has peaked, while some are hoping that a soft landing is still possible. ​The market is pricing in rate cuts next year, which also provides some ammunition for gold bulls.

Gold should have a strong performance over the first half of next year as the Fed would not likely resume tightening if inflation remains high as growth turns negative.

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