Stock Markets Analysis and Opinion

Is the Bear Market Rally About to End?

2023.02.20 08:49

David I. Kranzler

I believe the current bear market, which started in early 2022, has at least another year left before it bottoms. Regardless of the time frame, I think the current bear market will take the down to the mid-2000s (currently at 4,090) and the down to the 6,000 area (currently at 11,718). These levels correspond with the severity of previous bear market declines.

Many indicators flashing now have signaled an impending reversal of the bear rallies that have occurred since this bear market began. Reckless YOLO speculation has reached a fever pitch once again; as of a week ago, 250 million options contracts – the highest weekly volume in history. A large percentage of these options were one-day-to-expiration and weekly expiration calls. It’s the high volume in these calls that creates gamma squeezes.

Alternatively, the precious metals sector – , , and mining stocks – is extraordinarily undervalued in relation to the general universe of financial assets as well most commodities.

Jason Burack and I discuss the bear market rally, corruption at Wall Street banks (with actual stories from my days as a junk bond trader), and, of course, the precious metals sector with a couple of my favorite junior plays.

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