Financial market overview

Inflation, Recession, or Soft Landing?

2024.08.01 02:53

I discussed , , , , the Economic Modern Family and what I see as future trends for investing in an interview recently.TLT-Daily Chart

Later, the announced they would keep rates the same.

But they also hinted there might be a cut in September.

Traditionally, the FED always gives us forward guidance or relays when they are going to change monetary policy.

Except, of course, if there is a crisis impending, which is an example of chaos theory.

The bottom line is the original statement in the interview is the title of this Daily.

Are we headed for a new round of inflation, recession, or a soft landing?

The market will tell us and until then it really is anybody’s guess.

ETF Summary

  • S&P 500 (SPY) 540 support
  • Russell 2000 (IWM) 217 support 227 resistance
  • Dow (DIA) 400 support
  • Nasdaq (QQQ) support at 463
  • Regional banks (KRE) 54 now support with 60 next level to watch
  • Semiconductors (SMH) 230 important support
  • Transportation (IYT) 64.10 support 67 resistance
  • Biotechnology (IBB) 146 support 150 resistance
  • Retail (XRT) 77.50 now support
  • iShares iBoxx Hi Yd Cor Bond ETF (HYG) 78.00 support



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