Commodities Analysis and Opinion

Gold Breaks Below Key Support: Another Sell Signal?

2023.08.18 05:12

Jason Sen

breaking below the only support of note this week at 1900/1895 for an important sell signal. The first target is 1870/65 but 1845/40 is not out of the question.

Gains are likely to be limited, despite severely oversold conditions in the 3-month bear trend.  First resistance at 1896/99. Shorts need stops above 1902.

Very strong resistance in 1905/08. Shorts need stops above 1912.

Gold 4-Hr Chart

longs at strong support at 2245/25 are working on the bounce to my first target of 2290/95. It now looks unlikely we will reach the second target of 2320/30, but if seen this should be a sell opportunity with stop above 2350.

Strong again support at 2240/20. Longs need stops below 2210. A break lower is a sell signal.

Silver 4-Hr Chart

September break below 8150 on Tuesday was my sell signal & break below 8050 on Wednesday was the next sell signal targeting 7950/30.

Further losses can test strong support at 7830/00 today. Watch for a low for the day. Longs need stops below 7750.

However, the bounce went further than I expected beating resistance at 8030/50 before we quickly retreated, which was obviously frustrating. I still think this level could hold a rally today, but if we continue higher I expect very strong resistance at 8120/60. Shorts need stops above 8200.

Crude Oil 4-Hr Chart

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