Gold, Bitcoin Pop After U.S. CPI Data
2023.04.12 09:19
prices are on the move after the data has finally eased off and printed the reading of 5% against the expectations of 5.1%. Traders have taken this news as an indicator that the Fed is going to ease off from its rate hike cycle. However, the Fed minutes, which are due later in the day, are highly important, as the Fed may argue that core inflation is still sticky and they need to do more. If we look at the Fed Fund rate, they are showing a lower probability of a rate hike at the Fed’s next meeting; there is a 67% chance that the Fed will increase the interest rate by 25 basis points during their next meeting. This number was over 70% before the data.
The thing about the Fed is that they need to see a clear and strong trend in order to be fully convinced that inflation is moving in the right direction. It is true that the Fed is under immense pressure and needs to pay attention to the banking crisis, which many think is not over yet. For instance, Warren Buffet said today that he believes that there may be more bad news to come when it comes to the US banking system, as we may see more banks fail. This entire cycle of banking failure began because of the surge in the US interest rate.
Gold traders know that the Fed has little room to move, and bitcoin investors are also on board with this idea. crossed earlier above the $30K price level, and the research piece on Comparebroker argues that the rally is going to take the price to the $50K price mark because interest rates are based on the US CPI and US banking crisis.
The fact that both Bitcoin and gold prices have strongly bounced back up after the data indicates that the is likely to fall more, even though the Fed Minutes may not show that much of an optimistic side.
In terms of technical analysis, we believe that gold traders are going to continue to keep an eye on the support level of 2000 while they target the next resistance level, which is at 2050. As for Bitcoin, the next price target for many traders is 35,000.
