Commodities Analysis and Opinion

Have Investors Lost Faith In Gold?

2022.09.19 09:46

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continues falling – on Monday, Sept. 19, it reached $1,664. Earlier, it rebounded from the resistance level at $1,680 to indicate how strong the bearish pressure still is.

This week, investors expect another from the US FOMC to continue its fight against growing . Market players believe it will be a 75-point hike, but if the regulator raises the rate by 1%, it might force gold to continue plummeting.

Even though gold usually acts as a “safe haven” asset” when inflation rises, high-interest rates increase expenditures to store physical Gold. At the same time, increasing economic risks do not inspire market players to buy such “safe haven” assets, making the a preferable investment.

Since mid-2020, gold has been stuck inside a sideways channel between $2,065 and $1,680. If bears succeed in keeping the metal at the current levels (and there are no fundamental reasons that might hint at a possible reversal so far), gold might plummet to $1,300 in the long term.

Gold – Technical View

As we can see in the H4 chart, after rebounding from 1730.00, is forming another descending wave towards 1646.00. Later, the market may start a new growth with a target of 1727.00.

XAU/USD h4 chart.

From the technical point of view, this scenario is confirmed by MACD Oscillator: its signal line is moving below 0 outside the histogram area. In the future, the line may reverse and grow towards 0.

In the H1 chart, gold continues trading downwards, with the short-term target at 1650.00. Later, the market may grow towards 1690.00 and then resume falling to 1646.00.

XAU/USD H1 chart.

From the technical point of view, this scenario is confirmed by the Stochastic Oscillator: its signal is moving below 20 and may soon grow towards 50. After that, the line may resume falling to return to 20.

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