Economic Indicators
Wall Street analysts see direct economic growth hit from SVB fallout
2023.03.16 03:19
© Reuters. Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., March 15, 2023. REUTERS/Andrew Kelly
(Reuters) – The crisis in small and mid-sized banks in the United States after the swift downfall of SVB Financial Group could further slow down the struggling economy and raises the probability of a recession this year, according to Wall Street analysts.
J.P.Morgan said the slower loan growth at mid-size banks could trim a half to one percentage point off the level of GDP over the next year or more.
Goldman Sachs (NYSE:) raised its probability of the U.S. economy entering a recession in the next 12 months by 10 percentage points to 35%, citing the stress on the small banks.