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The Trade Desk Stock Dips Despite Earnings Beat, Outlook Seen as ‘Slightly Disappointing’

2022.05.11 14:32

The Trade Desk Stock Dips Despite Earnings Beat, Outlook Seen as 'Slightly Disappointing'
The Trade Desk (TTD) Stock Dips Despite Earnings Beat, Outlook Seen as ‘Slightly Disappointing’

Shares of The Trade Desk (NASDAQ:TTD) are down almost 5% in premarket trading Wednesday after the company’s Q2 forecast missed estimates.

TTD reported Q1 adjusted EPS of 21c, beating the consensus estimates of 15c. Revenue came in at $315 million, up 43% YoY and above the analyst expectations of $304.2 million.

For Q2, the company expects adjusted EBITDA of roughly $121 million, short of the expected $127.1 million. Revenue is expected to be about $364 million, missing the estimates of $365.1 million.

“With this innovation focus, along with strong growth across all channels, led by CTV, we are reinforcing our position as the default demand-side platform for the open internet,” the company said in a press release.

Raymond James analyst Andrew Marok reiterated a Market Perform rating as TTD is “fairly valued” at current levels.

“The 2H22 setup is encouraging for the company, with political spend shaping up to be a solid contributor to both top line and EBITDA, though macro worries (which contributed to some weakness in Europe around the start of the Russia/Ukraine conflict) are weighing on the space more broadly. In all, 1Q was a solid if not spectacular quarter,” Marok said in a client note.

KeyBanc analyst Justin Patterson is more positive than Marok on TTD stock after earnings. He sees risk-reward as “more compelling”.

“We see several positive trends playing out: 1) CTV becoming a larger % of the business, with Europe inflecting (>100% y/y growth); 2) OpenPath driving broad publisher and UID2 adoption; and 3) retail media and political remaining 2H catalysts. While bears may be skeptical of 2Q guidance, we believe share gains support 30% y/y growth,” Patterson wrote in a note.

By Senad Karaahmetovic

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