Stock Markets Analysis and Opinion

The Stuff That Stock Bears Are Made Of

2022.05.19 09:01

The financial media wanted you to believe that the consumer is still strong. They pointed to data that showed robust spending at retailers this past April.

What they failed to tell you? Those dollars had not been adjusted for inflation.

When one accounts for skyrocketing increases in the things that families buy, the data look less impressive. A lot less impressive.

The Stuff That Stock Bears Are Made OfRetail Sales Inflation Chart

Families may be spending more because they have to spend more. Or think that they have to.

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Unfortunately, investors are learning that “hot sales” may not be synonymous with “hot profits.” Walmart (NYSE:WMT) and Target (NYSE:TGT) have already blamed inflation for the hits to their respective bottom lines.

The inflation excuse is not helping share prices. You would have to go back to the 1987 crash to witness single-day/two-day destruction similar to what Walmart and Target are currently experiencing.

The Stuff That Stock Bears Are Made OfWMT Hourly Chart

In the big picture, Walmart and Target are simply “catching down” to the majority of S&P 500 constituents. More than half have dropped 20%-plus from highwater marks.

Indeed, this is the stuff that stock bears are made of.

The Stuff That Stock Bears Are Made OfPercentage Of S&P 500 Members In Bear Market

Source

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