Stock Markets Analysis and Opinion

Russell 2000 Finally Breaks Free of Congestion as Nasdaq Closes Above Resistance

2023.06.05 03:14

Declan Fallon

It was a good day for markets, but it was the () that went on a bender, pushing itself out of its scrappy, multi-week base and slicing through its 200-day MA. Not only that, it managed to clear $180 resistance, which means it’s now in the process of shaping a right-hand-side base.

This is an important development as other indexes challenge resistance on weekly timeframes. There is room for the Russell 2000 to test support, and an intraday spike below $180 would be acceptable as long as the index ends the day above $180. 

IWM Daily Chart

IWM Daily Chart

With the Russell 2000 making solid gains, we can see key developments in the  and . The Nasdaq has managed to clock an end-of-week close above 13,000 resistance, marking it as a breakout, which incidentally was the swing high of last summer. Next up is 14,500 – although it could take until the end of the year before it gets there. 

COMPQ Weekly Chart

COMPQ Weekly Chart

The S&P 500 also challenged last summer’s high as it closed the week on resistance. If there is a chance for bears, it will be a reversal based on an end-of-week close below 4,300, but with technicals net positive, the probability of a resistance reversal is low.  

SPX Weekly Chart

SPX Weekly Chart

The breakout in the is consolidating after the initial 15% gain. Assuming it can hold the breakout, it will continue to feed the key weekly breakout in the Nasdaq.

SOX Daily Chart

SOX Daily Chart

This week’s finish will be key, particularly for the S&P 500. With the positive move in the Russell 2000, there isn’t a bearish index in the near term, and I suspect this will evolve into a more bullish stance on longer time frames across all indexes. 

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