Relief Bounce Negated In One Day

2022.09.30 04:49

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It was always going to be a tough sell given the speed at which markets pushed down into a retest of June lows last week, but I would have thought a bounce would have lasted longer than a day. 

The hasn’t violated the June low yet but with Friday’s end-of-week print likely to see additional pressure into the overweekend-hold price, it’s not looking great for today.

COMPQ Daily Chart

The edged with a (real-body) close below support, but at least there is no confirmed distribution. On the flip side, the relative performance advantage against the was quickly erased on yesterday’s selling. 

SPX Daily Chart

The Russell 2000 has managed to hold on to June low support, although as with the S&P there wasn’t a whole lot of selling volume. One big swing has come with a relative performance advantage over peer indices has been gobbled up after yesterday.

IWM Daily Chart

We got a good idea of the continued strength in bears, such that we only really saw one day of gains for a support test that really should have offered more for bulls than a single day. We need to see what happens from here, but given the has already undercut the June low we would have to assume the same will happen in the Nasdaq, S&P and Russell 2000 too. 

INDU Daily Chart

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