Recession Could Push Apple Stock 27% Down
2022.06.28 20:36
Recession Could Push Apple Stock 27% Down
Evercore ISI analyst Amit Daryanani slashed the price target on Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) to $180.00 per share from $210.00 to reflect “increased macro uncertainty.”
Apple has been included in the “medium” risk bucket with a 20-40% downside potential with the analyst assigning a 27% downside risk to Apple stock if recession pushes the multiple to 19x from 21x currently.
“Apple was in growth mode during the 2008/2009 as we were still at the beginning of the smartphone revolution, so revenue declines in a recession today would likely be more severe vs. the growth they managed in 2009. We are modeling a revenue decline of 3% in a recession (8% below current estimates). We also see margins coming under pressure (-300bps) with iPhone and Services mix likely to decline and we would not expect Apple to make material changes to its R&D spending plans which would add further pressure. Apple should be able to mitigate potential margin compression by ramping up buybacks ($80B in net cash),” Daryanani told clients in a note.
Commscope (NASDAQ:COMM), Sensata (NYSE:ST), and TE Connectivity (NYSE:TEL) have been included in the high-risk bucket with the downside risk exceeding 40%.
Among other price target changes, Evercore ISI slashed the PT on Hewlett Packard Enterprise (NYSE:HPE) to $18.00 from $21.00, on NetApp (NASDAQ:NTAP) to $71.00 from $85.00, and on Cloudflare (NYSE:NET) to $65.00 from $110.00.
