Forex analytics and overview

Rate Surprise From RBNZ

2023.04.05 06:14

FxPro Financial Services Ltd

The Reserve Bank of made another rate hike of 50 points to 5.25%. Contrary to forecasts of a 25-point rate hike and the global trend towards a slowdown in policy tightening, the RBNZ has not slowed down a step. In this cycle, the rate has already been increased by 500 points.

RBNZ made another rate hike of 50 points to 5.25%RBNZ made another rate hike of 50 points to 5.25%

A higher-than-expected rate hike caused the to rise 1.2% within a minute to 0.6378. However, a few minutes later, the excitement for the New Zealand currency eased, and the pair almost erased this rise, returning to the 0.6310 level at the start of the day.

In our view, the pressure on the NZD was due to hints that this could be the end of the RBNZ’s hike cycle, suggesting a slowdown in domestic demand and normalisation of domestic price pressures as the weather in the north of the country normalises.

The NZD/USD has maintained an upward trend for almost a month, receiving support from increasingly higher levels. We consider the smooth reversal to the upside in the pair in March from the 200-day average line as a milestone. On Monday, the Kiwi crossed above its 50-day average, which is also a signal that Today’s intraday trend shows that the bulls cannot increase the momentum of this trend.

NZDUSD has maintained an upward trend for almost a monthNZDUSD has maintained an upward trend for almost a month

Despite a strong sell-off shortly after the rate decision, the NZD/USD doesn’t look overbought, and there are no significant resistance levels until the area of 0.6500.

And the Kiwi might continue. The pair had an almost canonical Fibonacci retracement from the October-January rise in February and early March and has been moving gently upwards since then, with the potential to reach 0.70-0.71 before the end of the year.

The FxPro Analyst Team

Source link

Related Articles

Back to top button
bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC) $ 98,555.41 4.41%
ethereum
Ethereum (ETH) $ 3,486.78 2.20%
tether
Tether (USDT) $ 0.998807 0.08%
xrp
XRP (XRP) $ 2.31 2.92%
bnb
BNB (BNB) $ 697.75 1.16%
solana
Solana (SOL) $ 196.98 3.92%
dogecoin
Dogecoin (DOGE) $ 0.337354 4.69%
usd-coin
USDC (USDC) $ 0.999653 0.14%
staked-ether
Lido Staked Ether (STETH) $ 3,481.79 2.40%
cardano
Cardano (ADA) $ 0.935736 2.08%
tron
TRON (TRX) $ 0.255685 1.39%
avalanche-2
Avalanche (AVAX) $ 41.05 5.96%
chainlink
Chainlink (LINK) $ 25.16 3.71%
the-open-network
Toncoin (TON) $ 5.87 5.00%
wrapped-steth
Wrapped stETH (WSTETH) $ 4,140.99 2.49%
shiba-inu
Shiba Inu (SHIB) $ 0.000024 6.37%
sui
Sui (SUI) $ 4.60 2.29%
wrapped-bitcoin
Wrapped Bitcoin (WBTC) $ 98,071.28 4.08%
hedera-hashgraph
Hedera (HBAR) $ 0.324078 10.32%
stellar
Stellar (XLM) $ 0.397771 8.18%
polkadot
Polkadot (DOT) $ 7.53 3.23%
hyperliquid
Hyperliquid (HYPE) $ 30.06 6.87%
weth
WETH (WETH) $ 3,486.02 2.20%
bitcoin-cash
Bitcoin Cash (BCH) $ 467.48 2.53%
leo-token
LEO Token (LEO) $ 9.50 1.58%
uniswap
Uniswap (UNI) $ 14.46 2.11%
litecoin
Litecoin (LTC) $ 108.07 1.98%
pepe
Pepe (PEPE) $ 0.000019 4.85%
bitget-token
Bitget Token (BGB) $ 5.04 19.34%
near
NEAR Protocol (NEAR) $ 5.55 3.16%
wrapped-eeth
Wrapped eETH (WEETH) $ 3,679.73 2.37%
ethena-usde
Ethena USDe (USDE) $ 0.998708 0.05%
aave
Aave (AAVE) $ 371.61 3.30%
aptos
Aptos (APT) $ 9.77 2.43%
internet-computer
Internet Computer (ICP) $ 11.33 6.25%
usds
USDS (USDS) $ 0.999246 0.21%
crypto-com-chain
Cronos (CRO) $ 0.163649 2.08%
polygon-ecosystem-token
POL (ex-MATIC) (POL) $ 0.525369 5.08%
vechain
VeChain (VET) $ 0.052623 9.51%
ethereum-classic
Ethereum Classic (ETC) $ 27.82 1.69%
mantle
Mantle (MNT) $ 1.23 3.19%
render-token
Render (RENDER) $ 7.79 2.31%
bittensor
Bittensor (TAO) $ 502.46 4.52%
fetch-ai
Artificial Superintelligence Alliance (FET) $ 1.39 2.27%
mantra-dao
MANTRA (OM) $ 3.80 0.89%
whitebit
WhiteBIT Coin (WBT) $ 24.92 2.35%
monero
Monero (XMR) $ 191.28 0.83%
arbitrum
Arbitrum (ARB) $ 0.815313 2.51%
dai
Dai (DAI) $ 1.00 0.10%
filecoin
Filecoin (FIL) $ 5.44 5.95%