Forex analytics and overview

Pound Hits a Ceiling

2023.01.26 11:13


The British pound is testing the $1.2400 level this week, above which it failed to consolidate in the middle of last month. The has not traded consistently higher since last June.

The British Pound is testing the $1.2400 level this weekThe British Pound is testing the $1.2400 level this week

Looking at the rally from September’s historic lows at 1.0327, the retreat from December’s highs to 1.19 is a fairly common Fibonacci retracement to the 76.4% area of the original move, though not the classic 61.8%.

Technically, two important moving averages, the 50- and 200-day moving averages, acted as support in early January, preventing the pair from falling any further while allowing it to take some profits from the initial rally.

The pattern now suggests that GBP/USD has the potential to rise to 1.37-1.38, where the highs of last January and the 161.8% level of the first wave of the rally are concentrated. A move in this direction has every chance of becoming the main trend this year, although we expect a significant battle for 1.300 over the next few quarters.

However, the tactical stance is more cautious. The pound has been hitting a glass ceiling just above 1.2430 for over a week now. The inability to rewrite the previous highs is not a formal signal for further growth.

The pattern now suggests that GBPUSD has the potential to rise to 1.37-1.38The pattern now suggests that GBPUSD has the potential to rise to 1.37-1.38

At the same time, a divergence with the Relative Strength Index is forming on the daily timeframe, as the price’s repeated highs are coming from the index’s lower local peaks, which is a bearish signal.

Without a strong rally above 1.2430, we should be prepared for a deeper local correction. The area of the January lows, also crossed by the 200 SMA, looks like a good target for another pullback.

A deeper correction towards 1.1630, where 61.8% of the recent rally and last October’s local peak are located, cannot be ruled out. Such a full-blown correction would fully recharge the pound bulls and pave the way for further growth.

Source link

Related Articles

Leave a Reply

Back to top button
bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC) $ 98,333.35 4.32%
ethereum
Ethereum (ETH) $ 3,481.15 2.30%
tether
Tether (USDT) $ 0.999619 0.14%
xrp
XRP (XRP) $ 2.31 3.13%
bnb
BNB (BNB) $ 699.38 1.46%
solana
Solana (SOL) $ 199.22 5.17%
dogecoin
Dogecoin (DOGE) $ 0.337471 4.70%
usd-coin
USDC (USDC) $ 1.00 0.08%
staked-ether
Lido Staked Ether (STETH) $ 3,479.69 2.34%
cardano
Cardano (ADA) $ 0.934976 2.20%
tron
TRON (TRX) $ 0.256102 1.40%
avalanche-2
Avalanche (AVAX) $ 41.22 6.88%
chainlink
Chainlink (LINK) $ 25.11 4.23%
the-open-network
Toncoin (TON) $ 5.88 5.08%
wrapped-steth
Wrapped stETH (WSTETH) $ 4,130.76 2.26%
shiba-inu
Shiba Inu (SHIB) $ 0.000024 5.95%
sui
Sui (SUI) $ 4.62 1.43%
wrapped-bitcoin
Wrapped Bitcoin (WBTC) $ 97,916.23 4.18%
hedera-hashgraph
Hedera (HBAR) $ 0.320604 12.23%
stellar
Stellar (XLM) $ 0.397938 8.35%
polkadot
Polkadot (DOT) $ 7.53 3.25%
hyperliquid
Hyperliquid (HYPE) $ 30.10 4.36%
weth
WETH (WETH) $ 3,482.12 2.29%
bitcoin-cash
Bitcoin Cash (BCH) $ 468.24 2.33%
leo-token
LEO Token (LEO) $ 9.48 1.47%
uniswap
Uniswap (UNI) $ 14.44 2.35%
litecoin
Litecoin (LTC) $ 108.11 2.27%
pepe
Pepe (PEPE) $ 0.000019 5.13%
bitget-token
Bitget Token (BGB) $ 4.98 18.40%
near
NEAR Protocol (NEAR) $ 5.56 2.63%
wrapped-eeth
Wrapped eETH (WEETH) $ 3,673.73 2.24%
ethena-usde
Ethena USDe (USDE) $ 0.999289 0.12%
aave
Aave (AAVE) $ 369.83 2.01%
aptos
Aptos (APT) $ 9.83 3.16%
internet-computer
Internet Computer (ICP) $ 11.34 6.48%
usds
USDS (USDS) $ 0.999563 0.04%
crypto-com-chain
Cronos (CRO) $ 0.162984 1.41%
polygon-ecosystem-token
POL (ex-MATIC) (POL) $ 0.525779 5.15%
vechain
VeChain (VET) $ 0.052716 9.95%
ethereum-classic
Ethereum Classic (ETC) $ 27.84 2.05%
mantle
Mantle (MNT) $ 1.23 3.44%
render-token
Render (RENDER) $ 7.80 1.44%
bittensor
Bittensor (TAO) $ 501.98 3.70%
fetch-ai
Artificial Superintelligence Alliance (FET) $ 1.40 2.48%
mantra-dao
MANTRA (OM) $ 3.80 0.12%
whitebit
WhiteBIT Coin (WBT) $ 24.89 2.12%
monero
Monero (XMR) $ 192.15 1.25%
arbitrum
Arbitrum (ARB) $ 0.814759 2.39%
dai
Dai (DAI) $ 1.00 0.05%
filecoin
Filecoin (FIL) $ 5.46 6.13%