Commodities and Futures News

OPEC’s First 2023 Outlook Shows No Relief for Oil Market Squeeze

2022.07.12 15:27

OPEC’s First 2023 Outlook Shows No Relief for Oil Market Squeeze

Budrigannews.com – OPEC’s first oil-market outlook for 2023 suggests no relief for squeezed consumers, with more crude needed from the group even though most members are already pumping flat out.

The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries expects global oil demand growth to exceed the increase in supplies by 1 million barrels a day next year. To fill the gap, OPEC would need to significantly hike production, but members are already falling far behind the volumes needed right now due to underinvestment and political instability.

Crude prices are holding above $100 a barrel as the world’s oil fields and refining facilities fail to keep pace with the post-pandemic rebound in fuel demand. That’s exacerbating a cost-of-living crisis and threatening to tip the global economy into recession.

President Joe Biden is urging Middle East producers to ease the crisis by opening the taps. He will visit the region this week with a planned stop in OPEC leader Saudi Arabia, but many analysts expect Gulf exporters to ration their remaining spare production capacity carefully.

If Biden does persuade Riyadh and the neighboring United Arab Emirates to provide some extra supply, the move will likely be formalized at the next meeting of OPEC and its partners on Aug. 3, according to RBC Capital Markets LLC.

Supply Crunch

The report published by OPEC’s Vienna-based research department on Tuesday indicates the supply crunch will persist.

Global demand will expand by 2.7 million barrels a day next year, bolstered by growth in emerging economies, while supplies outside OPEC will increase by 1.7 million a day, according to the cartel’s analysis. Gasoline and diesel fuel will drive the growth in consumption.

To balance supply and demand, OPEC would need to provide an average of 30.1 million barrels a day in 2023. That’s 1.38 million a day more than the cartel’s 13 nations pumped in June.

OPEC has been reviving production halted during the pandemic, with a final tranche scheduled for next month. Yet the group is pumping well below its collective target because nations such as Angola and Nigeria have seen their capacity eroded by insufficient investment and operational problems. Troubled member Libya has suffered a collapse in its production collapse amid renewed political unrest.

Because of this supply shortfall, fuel inventories in industrialized nations are shrinking rapidly, dropping to 312 million barrels below the five-year average in May.

OPEC’s assessment of 2023 fits in with the prevailing view across the petroleum industry, with the Paris-based International Energy Agency — which represents consuming nations — also predicting that supplies will remain under strain.

Related Articles

Leave a Reply

Back to top button
bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC) $ 98,280.33 3.74%
ethereum
Ethereum (ETH) $ 3,482.23 1.67%
tether
Tether (USDT) $ 0.999441 0.04%
xrp
XRP (XRP) $ 2.28 0.51%
bnb
BNB (BNB) $ 707.34 2.89%
solana
Solana (SOL) $ 196.42 1.76%
dogecoin
Dogecoin (DOGE) $ 0.330918 1.90%
usd-coin
USDC (USDC) $ 0.999946 0.09%
staked-ether
Lido Staked Ether (STETH) $ 3,478.89 1.85%
cardano
Cardano (ADA) $ 0.913427 0.36%
tron
TRON (TRX) $ 0.256724 1.17%
avalanche-2
Avalanche (AVAX) $ 40.85 3.08%
chainlink
Chainlink (LINK) $ 24.57 0.98%
the-open-network
Toncoin (TON) $ 5.98 4.87%
wrapped-steth
Wrapped stETH (WSTETH) $ 4,127.59 1.93%
shiba-inu
Shiba Inu (SHIB) $ 0.000023 2.15%
sui
Sui (SUI) $ 4.50 1.74%
wrapped-bitcoin
Wrapped Bitcoin (WBTC) $ 97,983.25 3.70%
hedera-hashgraph
Hedera (HBAR) $ 0.311835 0.11%
stellar
Stellar (XLM) $ 0.384039 1.81%
polkadot
Polkadot (DOT) $ 7.45 0.86%
weth
WETH (WETH) $ 3,477.29 1.49%
hyperliquid
Hyperliquid (HYPE) $ 27.70 2.29%
bitcoin-cash
Bitcoin Cash (BCH) $ 465.48 0.31%
leo-token
LEO Token (LEO) $ 9.55 1.22%
uniswap
Uniswap (UNI) $ 13.95 0.67%
litecoin
Litecoin (LTC) $ 109.02 1.03%
bitget-token
Bitget Token (BGB) $ 5.68 16.32%
pepe
Pepe (PEPE) $ 0.000019 0.95%
wrapped-eeth
Wrapped eETH (WEETH) $ 3,670.92 1.46%
near
NEAR Protocol (NEAR) $ 5.52 0.12%
ethena-usde
Ethena USDe (USDE) $ 0.998968 0.05%
aave
Aave (AAVE) $ 372.56 0.97%
internet-computer
Internet Computer (ICP) $ 11.39 4.45%
usds
USDS (USDS) $ 0.99924 0.18%
aptos
Aptos (APT) $ 9.62 0.71%
polygon-ecosystem-token
POL (ex-MATIC) (POL) $ 0.518233 1.47%
crypto-com-chain
Cronos (CRO) $ 0.158846 2.50%
vechain
VeChain (VET) $ 0.05235 3.59%
mantle
Mantle (MNT) $ 1.25 2.79%
ethereum-classic
Ethereum Classic (ETC) $ 27.61 0.52%
render-token
Render (RENDER) $ 7.59 2.04%
bittensor
Bittensor (TAO) $ 514.29 3.20%
mantra-dao
MANTRA (OM) $ 3.79 0.87%
monero
Monero (XMR) $ 195.63 3.69%
whitebit
WhiteBIT Coin (WBT) $ 24.89 1.64%
fetch-ai
Artificial Superintelligence Alliance (FET) $ 1.36 0.16%
dai
Dai (DAI) $ 0.99993 0.10%
arbitrum
Arbitrum (ARB) $ 0.803308 0.99%
filecoin
Filecoin (FIL) $ 5.37 1.64%