ISM Manufacturing PMI remains steady, missing forecasted rise
2024.10.01 11:01
The Institute of Supply Management (ISM) has released its Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) Report for the month. The report, which is based on data compiled from over 400 industrial companies, revealed an actual figure of 47.2.
This figure, while identical to the previous month’s number, fell short of the forecasted 47.6. Analysts had anticipated a slight uptick in the PMI, reflecting a more positive outlook for the manufacturing sector. However, the steady figure suggests that the sector’s growth has remained consistent, without the expected marginal increase.
The PMI is a composite index based on the seasonally adjusted diffusion indices for five key indicators, including new orders, production, employment, supplier deliveries, and inventories. These factors, each with varying weights, contribute to the overall picture of the manufacturing sector’s health.
Despite the missed forecast, the static PMI figure does not necessarily indicate a negative outlook for the USD. The PMI is a complex indicator, and while a higher than expected reading is generally considered bullish for the USD, a lower than expected reading is typically seen as bearish.
The ISM report shows the percentage reporting each response, the net difference between the number of responses in the positive economic direction and the negative economic direction, and the diffusion index. The diffusion index includes the percent of positive responses plus one-half of those responding the same, considered positive.
The ISM’s PMI report is a crucial tool for investors and economists, offering insight into the manufacturing sector’s performance and its potential impact on the broader economy and currency. Despite the steady figure this month, the PMI remains an important indicator to watch in the coming months, as shifts in the manufacturing sector can have far-reaching economic implications.
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