Commodities and Futures News

Goldman says commodities outlook strong, pullbacks a buying opportunity

2022.07.08 20:40

Goldman says commodities outlook strong, pullbacks a buying opportunity
FILE PHOTO: The logo for Goldman Sachs is seen on the trading floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, New York, U.S., November 17, 2021. REUTERS/Andrew Kelly

(Reuters) – The fundamental outlook for commodity prices is strong with inventories of metals and energy continuing to fall from low levels, Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) said, terming a recent price pullback as longer-term buying opportunities.

Commodities markets have been oversold, de-linking with supply-demand fundamentals, the bank said in a note dated July 7.

“Mobility remains robust globally and continues to recover strongly in China and the oil market is pointing to a 1 million barrel per day (bpd) deficit. U.S. and European aluminium premia remain historically high, while physical order books for metals remain strong,” the bank said.

Commodities will weather risks of a recession in the United States and Europe in the next 12 months, “on China’s large-scale counter-cyclical stimulus,” the bank said.

It forecast returns of 34.4%, 30.4% and 36.9% on commodities over a three-, six- and 12-month period respectively on the S&P/GSCI Goldman Sachs Commodity Index (GSCI), adding commodities were a “great macro hedge.”

“An allocation to a true real asset like commodities remains a necessity to protect a multi-asset portfolio.”

Industrial metals were seen returning 57.2% over a 12-month period, followed by precious metals at 48%, energy at 40.7%, and agriculture at 24.4%, the bank said.

As for energy, Goldman reiterated its view that the oil market was in a structural deficit.

“This deficit will likely persist at current oil prices given the expected moderate recovery in Chinese demand and declines in Russian exports (amid EU sanctions),” the bank said, forecasting the decline in Russian exports to accelerate from 0.3 million bpd to 1.5 million bpd by the first quarter of 2023.

Oil prices rose on Friday but were heading for a weekly decline as recession concerns outweighed tight supplies. The slowdown fears have taken a toll on most commodities, with copper hitting a 20 month-low this week. [MET/L] [O/R]

Source

Related Articles

Leave a Reply

Back to top button
bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC) $ 96,848.95 2.03%
ethereum
Ethereum (ETH) $ 3,299.51 4.88%
tether
Tether (USDT) $ 1.00 0.11%
solana
Solana (SOL) $ 245.64 5.94%
bnb
BNB (BNB) $ 645.37 4.26%
xrp
XRP (XRP) $ 1.35 13.87%
dogecoin
Dogecoin (DOGE) $ 0.409168 12.10%
usd-coin
USDC (USDC) $ 0.999454 0.17%
cardano
Cardano (ADA) $ 0.980725 11.59%
staked-ether
Lido Staked Ether (STETH) $ 3,301.87 4.69%
tron
TRON (TRX) $ 0.20328 8.50%
avalanche-2
Avalanche (AVAX) $ 39.66 7.38%
stellar
Stellar (XLM) $ 0.50839 10.41%
the-open-network
Toncoin (TON) $ 5.95 2.13%
shiba-inu
Shiba Inu (SHIB) $ 0.000025 10.34%
wrapped-steth
Wrapped stETH (WSTETH) $ 3,930.31 3.99%
wrapped-bitcoin
Wrapped Bitcoin (WBTC) $ 96,565.87 1.53%
polkadot
Polkadot (DOT) $ 8.59 5.00%
chainlink
Chainlink (LINK) $ 16.52 5.70%
bitcoin-cash
Bitcoin Cash (BCH) $ 487.71 10.00%
weth
WETH (WETH) $ 3,297.03 4.89%
sui
Sui (SUI) $ 3.25 10.44%
pepe
Pepe (PEPE) $ 0.000019 11.66%
leo-token
LEO Token (LEO) $ 8.71 0.92%
near
NEAR Protocol (NEAR) $ 6.25 2.13%
litecoin
Litecoin (LTC) $ 94.04 8.79%
aptos
Aptos (APT) $ 11.82 8.76%
uniswap
Uniswap (UNI) $ 10.34 4.06%
wrapped-eeth
Wrapped eETH (WEETH) $ 3,491.15 3.88%
hedera-hashgraph
Hedera (HBAR) $ 0.140704 6.79%
usds
USDS (USDS) $ 1.00 0.08%
internet-computer
Internet Computer (ICP) $ 10.68 7.92%
crypto-com-chain
Cronos (CRO) $ 0.184032 9.63%
polygon-ecosystem-token
POL (ex-MATIC) (POL) $ 0.537201 6.85%
ethereum-classic
Ethereum Classic (ETC) $ 27.72 9.67%
ethena-usde
Ethena USDe (USDE) $ 1.00 0.20%
render-token
Render (RENDER) $ 7.38 7.48%
kaspa
Kaspa (KAS) $ 0.147474 8.41%
fetch-ai
Artificial Superintelligence Alliance (FET) $ 1.43 0.47%
bittensor
Bittensor (TAO) $ 495.29 8.56%
whitebit
WhiteBIT Coin (WBT) $ 24.40 1.22%
dai
Dai (DAI) $ 0.999886 0.19%
celestia
Celestia (TIA) $ 7.90 22.86%
arbitrum
Arbitrum (ARB) $ 0.813741 6.79%
bonk
Bonk (BONK) $ 0.000044 14.34%
mantra-dao
MANTRA (OM) $ 3.66 3.82%
cosmos
Cosmos Hub (ATOM) $ 8.36 2.04%
vechain
VeChain (VET) $ 0.040189 8.61%
filecoin
Filecoin (FIL) $ 5.35 0.88%
okb
OKB (OKB) $ 52.51 2.30%