Goldman Sachs cuts probability of US recession in next 12 months

NEW YORK (Reuters) – Goldman Sachs (NYSE:)’ Chief Economist Jan Hatzius said on Monday the bank was cutting its probability that a U.S recession will start in the next 12 months to 20% from an earlier 25% forecast.

“The main reason for our cut is that the recent data have reinforced our confidence that bringing inflation down to an acceptable level will not require a recession,” he said in a research note.