Stock Market News

Fade S&P 500 Above 4200 as the End Game is Below 3600 – BofA Strategist

2022.08.05 16:30

Fade S&P 500 Above 4200 as the End Game is Below 3600 - BofA Strategist
Fade S&P 500 Above 4200 as the End Game is Below 3600 – BofA’s Hartnett

By Senad Karaahmetovic

Bank of America’s Chief Investment Strategist has once again reiterated his stance that the ultimate low in the S&P 500 is yet to be seen.

Despite the benchmark index trading near 4200, which has been seen as a key bull/bear line in the near-term, the strategist told clients to fade the S&P 500 above this level.

“Still think end-game 3600>SPX; next big short (up in yields, down in tech) once stagflation returns Q4/Q1,” he said in his weekly note to clients.

On what investors can expect in the coming weeks, he added:

“Sentiment still bearish (though shorts have covered) + no FOMC ‘til Sept 21st…rip lower next 4-weeks requires “v hot” data (e.g. July payroll >400k, U-rate drops to 3.7%) mean recession risk-off as stocks (esp tech) “catch-down” to inverted yield curve.”

Thus, the focus remains on inflation with BofA economists seeing both core CPI & PCE at around 5% YoY in Q1’23.

“For headline CPI to fall back below 5% in Q1’23 requires monthly print to drop from 0.9% to 0.1-0.2%,” the strategist further added.

As far as weekly flows are concerned, the week to Wednesday saw an $11.7 billion inflow to bonds while outflows from stocks and cash were $2.6 billion and $4.1 billion, respectively.

In the meantime, Bank of America’s Bull & Bear Indicator remains at 0, signaling extreme bearishness.

Source

Related Articles

Leave a Reply

Back to top button
bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC) $ 98,675.44 0.16%
ethereum
Ethereum (ETH) $ 3,468.40 0.56%
tether
Tether (USDT) $ 0.999223 0.04%
xrp
XRP (XRP) $ 2.29 1.86%
bnb
BNB (BNB) $ 701.71 1.02%
solana
Solana (SOL) $ 197.98 0.85%
dogecoin
Dogecoin (DOGE) $ 0.330863 1.42%
usd-coin
USDC (USDC) $ 1.00 0.06%
staked-ether
Lido Staked Ether (STETH) $ 3,464.66 0.50%
cardano
Cardano (ADA) $ 0.911284 2.55%
tron
TRON (TRX) $ 0.257394 0.00%
avalanche-2
Avalanche (AVAX) $ 40.32 2.60%
chainlink
Chainlink (LINK) $ 24.46 1.50%
the-open-network
Toncoin (TON) $ 5.98 3.66%
wrapped-steth
Wrapped stETH (WSTETH) $ 4,111.72 0.79%
shiba-inu
Shiba Inu (SHIB) $ 0.000023 1.18%
sui
Sui (SUI) $ 4.51 3.81%
wrapped-bitcoin
Wrapped Bitcoin (WBTC) $ 98,200.31 0.05%
hedera-hashgraph
Hedera (HBAR) $ 0.314699 2.45%
stellar
Stellar (XLM) $ 0.383416 5.25%
polkadot
Polkadot (DOT) $ 7.47 0.85%
weth
WETH (WETH) $ 3,466.09 0.77%
hyperliquid
Hyperliquid (HYPE) $ 28.18 8.28%
bitcoin-cash
Bitcoin Cash (BCH) $ 460.50 2.92%
leo-token
LEO Token (LEO) $ 9.49 0.32%
uniswap
Uniswap (UNI) $ 13.83 4.97%
litecoin
Litecoin (LTC) $ 108.92 0.27%
bitget-token
Bitget Token (BGB) $ 5.70 15.63%
pepe
Pepe (PEPE) $ 0.000018 4.20%
wrapped-eeth
Wrapped eETH (WEETH) $ 3,664.13 0.52%
near
NEAR Protocol (NEAR) $ 5.42 2.42%
ethena-usde
Ethena USDe (USDE) $ 0.998953 0.00%
aave
Aave (AAVE) $ 372.05 1.23%
usds
USDS (USDS) $ 0.999273 0.12%
aptos
Aptos (APT) $ 9.61 1.93%
internet-computer
Internet Computer (ICP) $ 11.16 0.22%
polygon-ecosystem-token
POL (ex-MATIC) (POL) $ 0.513999 2.54%
crypto-com-chain
Cronos (CRO) $ 0.157236 5.79%
vechain
VeChain (VET) $ 0.051644 2.43%
mantle
Mantle (MNT) $ 1.24 0.47%
ethereum-classic
Ethereum Classic (ETC) $ 27.25 3.14%
render-token
Render (RENDER) $ 7.52 4.14%
bittensor
Bittensor (TAO) $ 502.14 0.85%
monero
Monero (XMR) $ 196.50 2.48%
whitebit
WhiteBIT Coin (WBT) $ 25.06 0.62%
mantra-dao
MANTRA (OM) $ 3.76 0.10%
fetch-ai
Artificial Superintelligence Alliance (FET) $ 1.35 2.69%
dai
Dai (DAI) $ 1.00 0.01%
arbitrum
Arbitrum (ARB) $ 0.798785 2.62%
filecoin
Filecoin (FIL) $ 5.29 3.41%