European Stock Futures Edge Lower; Caution Ahead of Powell’s Speech
2022.08.26 09:25
By Peter Nurse
Investing.com – European stock markets are expected to open marginally lower Friday, ahead of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s widely-anticipated speech which could offer clues on the U.S. central bank’s monetary tightening plans.
At 02:05 ET (06:05 GMT), the DAX futures contract in Germany traded 0.1% lower, CAC 40 futures in France dropped 0.2%, and the FTSE 100 futures contract in the U.K. fell 0.1%.
Investors are eagerly awaiting Powell’s speech at the Jackson Hole symposium, at 10:00 ET (14:00 GMT) for any insight into how aggressively the Fed still plans to raise interest rates.
Policymakers have in recent weeks emphasized how important it is for the Fed to get inflation under control, but recent data has also pointed to a cooling U.S. economy and they run the risk of pushing the world’s largest economy, and main growth driver, into recession.
These growth worries are even more pronounced in Europe, as the continent struggles to cope with an energy crisis as gas prices soar in the wake of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.
The German Ifo business climate index fell to the lowest level in over two years on Thursday, and Friday’s Gfk German consumer climate index painted a similarly bleak picture. The forward-looking Gfk index fell to -36.5 for September, considerably below the -31.8 expected, and a hefty drop from the downwardly revised -30.9 seen the previous month.
Also of interest will the decision of Britain’s energy regulator Ofgem to raise its cap on domestic energy bills to a record 3,549 pounds ($4,189) from Oct. 1. That amount is expected to go even higher in January as the UK competes with other nations for limited gas supplies, and represents a significant jump from last winter’s cap of 1,277 pounds.
Earlier Friday German Economy Minister Robert Habeck said he’ll reassess the country’s levy on consumers to help fund aid for suppliers as gas prices surge, amid an outcry over corporate profits in the sector.
Oil prices rose Friday, on course to end the week with strong gains at the prospect of a further tightening of global supply.
The prospect of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, led by Saudi Arabia, cutting output has boosted sentiment this week, outweighing the likelihood of the return of Iran to oil markets should it clinch a nuclear deal with the West.
By 02:05 ET, U.S. crude futures traded 1% higher at $93.41 a barrel, while the Brent contract rose 0.9% to $100.26. Both benchmarks are on course to register gains of around 3%.
Additionally, gold futures fell 0.1% to $1,769.85/oz, while EUR/USD traded 0.1% lower at 0.9965.
