EUR/USD Above Parity, Eyes Higher Levels

2022.11.23 05:41

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Risk-on is in play, with stocks futures rising as turns down, while US notes trade sideways. We see that majors found some buyers during the Asian session as DXY stops at 107.70 resistance.

However, the bulls may slow down a bit after PMI figures show contraction, but ECB’s de Guindos says the ECB will keep raising interest rates to try to bring down towards mid-term goals. It appears that even bad data won’t stop ECB from hiking.

Technically speaking, we see EUR/USD in strong recovery mode in the 4-hour chart after recent complex W-X-Y correction in wave (B)/(2), so we are now tracking a five-wave cycle within wave (C) up to 1.06 area or maybe even wave (3) if we see an acceleration higher towards 1.07 area.

In either case, there is room for more upside after the current intraday fourth wave set-back that can find support at 1.02-1.0270. So for now, the trend is up on the intraday chart, but drop back to parity will be again bearish for the euro as recovery from the September low would then be treated as a correction within the downtrend.

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