Dollar weak after soft U.S inflation data, focus switches to Fed

By Ankur Banerjee

SINGAPORE (Reuters) – The U.S. dollar struggled to gain foothold on Wednesday after a sharp dive overnight on cooler-than-expected inflation data which fuelled expectations that the Federal Reserve will chart a moderate rate hike path later in the day.

After delivering four consecutive 75 basis points hikes, the U.S. central bank is widely expected to increase interest rates by 50 basis points as it concludes its two-day meeting on Wednesday.

The euro was up 0.03% against the dollar at $1.0633, not far off a six-month high of $1.06730 it touched in the previous session.

The , which measures the greenback versus six major currencies, fell 0.067% to 104.000, having slid 0.9% overnight.

The Japanese yen strengthened 0.09% versus the greenback at 135.45 per dollar, while sterling was last trading at $1.2351, down 0.02% on the day.

The deceleration in CPI inflation supports the case for the FOMC to taper the increase in the Funds rate to 50 basis points, said Carol Kong, a currency strategist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia (OTC:) (CBA).

“We expect FOMC Chair Powell at his press conference to talk about the risks to economic growth as well as the need to bring inflation down to target,” Kong said, noting the focus on economic growth will likely be welcomed by risk assets and pull the dollar lower.

U.S. consumer prices rose less than expected for a second straight month in November, with underlying consumer prices advancing by the least in 15 months, the report from the Labor Department on Tuesday showed.

Fed funds futures have priced in a lower terminal rate, where the Fed stops hiking just below 5% by March. Traders are now betting on 25-basis-point increases at each of the Fed’s first two meetings of 2023 and no more, with some chance the last hike could come in May instead of March.

========================================================

Currency bid prices at 0140 GMT

Description RIC Last U.S. Close Pct Change YTD Pct High Bid Low Bid

Previous Change

Session

Euro/Dollar $1.0637 $1.0630 +0.07% -6.44% +1.0639 +1.0624

Dollar/Yen 135.5500 135.5050 +0.04% +17.86% +135.7250 +135.4000

Euro/Yen 144.18 144.16 +0.01% +10.64% +144.2100 +143.9100

Dollar/Swiss 0.9286 0.9286 +0.08% +1.89% +0.9295 +0.9290

Sterling/Dollar 1.2352 1.2365 -0.15% -8.70% +1.2371 +1.2345

Dollar/Canadian 1.3564 1.3544 +0.16% +7.29% +1.3570 +1.3550

Aussie/Dollar 0.6832 0.6858 -0.36% -6.00% +0.6857 +0.6824

NZ 0.6448 0.6463 -0.25% -5.81% +0.6464 +0.6434

Dollar/Dollar

All spots

Tokyo spots

Europe spots

Volatilities

Tokyo Forex market info from BOJ

Source link