Stock Markets Analysis and Opinion

DAX Bear Trend Continues; FTSE Stable

2022.11.16 07:07

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40 December reached 14461, just 39 ticks from the next target and strong resistance at 14500/600.

We may have just seen a high for the incredible 1 and a half month, 550 tick short squeeze but this may present an excellent selling opportunity.

December remarkably stable considering the madness in the US markets.

Remember when support is broken it usually acts as resistance and vice-versa.

Today’s Analysis

DAX December got very close to strong resistance at 14500/600. Shorts need stops above 14750. I think there is a good chance we have seen a high for the recovery yesterday and the bear trend will resume. The short squeeze was brutal and surely there must be very few speculative shorts left. The next move to the downside (if I am right) could be just as swift. Although we have no sell signal just yet, we are severely overbought in what I believe is still a bear trend.

Yesterday we hit the downside target of 14200 and reached 14142 before a bounce. First support at 14100/050 today. Longs could be risky. A break below 14000 targets 13850/800.

Gains are likely to be limited with first resistance at 14330/360. Shorts need stops above 14400.

FTSE December tested minor support at 7335/25 but over ran by 20 ticks. Expect strong support at 7270/60. Longs need stops below 7240.

Minor resistance at 7430/40. A break higher targets 7480/90 and perhaps as far as the September high at 7515.

DAX Index Daily Chart

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