Credit Suisse raises UK GDP forecast after energy package
2022.09.10 21:35
FILE PHOTO: The City of London financial district can be seen as people walk along the south side of the River Thames, London, Britain, March 19, 2021. REUTERS/Henry Nicholls/File Photo
LONDON (Reuters) – Credit Suisse raised its 2023 UK GDP forecast on Friday, predicting that the UK government’s plan to freeze household energy bills for two years will likely lead to a shallower recession and lower near-term inflation.
Economists at the Swiss bank revised up their UK GDP forecast for 2023 to -0.2% from a previous -0.6%.
Credit Suisse also expects higher interest rates as a result of the energy package, which Prime Minister Liz Truss unveiled on Thursday, and a much bigger fiscal deficit. The bank now expects the Bank of England to hike rates from a current 1.75% to 4.0% by the first quarter of 2023, versus its previous forecast of 3.5%.
