Commodities and Futures News

Climate tipping points of coral die-off, ice sheet collapse closer than thought

2022.09.10 20:54

2/2
Climate tipping points of coral die-off, ice sheet collapse closer than thought
FILE PHOTO: The edge of the ice sheet is pictured south of Ilulissat, Greenland, September 17, 2021. REUTERS/Hannibal Hanschke

2/2

By Gloria Dickie

LONDON (Reuters) – When might the world’s bleaching coral reefs pass the point of no return? When would warming temperatures cause the Greenland Ice Sheet to collapse and trigger severe sea level rise? These worrying scenarios could happen sooner than expected, according to new scientific research http://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.abn7950.

For more than a decade, climate researchers have been monitoring 16 “tipping points” — or environmental thresholds beyond which the global climate system could spiral toward a dangerous state.

Precisely how much global warming it will take to breach these thresholds, however, has remained a question mark.

The 2015 Paris Agreement aims to keep temperature gains well below 2 degrees Celsius in hopes of averting the worst consequences of climate change, but a new analysis of more than 200 research papers on tipping points finds it is possible the world could hit some of these thresholds at the level of warming — 1.1C — we’re experiencing now.

“We can see some potential early warning signals,” said climate scientist David Armstrong McKay, a coauthor of the study published Thursday in the journal Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

Already, “the Greenland Ice Sheet is showing signs of destabilization with lots of melt and there are potentially early warnings that the Atlantic circulation might be slowing down,” said McKay, who works at the University of Exeter in Britain.

The latter is crucial in moving heat from the tropics into the northern hemisphere. A shutdown would trigger widespread cooling around western Europe and eastern North America.

For this first scientific study to test the 16 tipping points against different warming scenarios, the team of international scientists pored over the data and findings from past studies.

Five tipping points — the disintegration of the West Antarctic and Greenland ice sheets, coral reef die-offs, collapse of the Labrador-Irminger Seas convection and abrupt permafrost thaw — could happen now, the team finds.

Arctic permafrost thaw would release huge amounts of carbon into the atmosphere. Coral reef die-offs would obliterate the marine food web. (Graphic: https://tmsnrt.rs/3itHMTN)

“At the moment, they are possible rather than likely,” McKay stressed, but he added, “it’s definitely concerning.”

At 1.5C of warming, another five tipping points would be reachable.

Earlier this year, the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change stated that the risk of triggering climate tipping points becomes high by around 2C of warming.

“While the IPCC has formulated more cautiously … we are all aware that 1.5 warming does not take us to a safe haven,” said marine biologist Hans-Otto Portner at the Alfred Wegener Institute in Germany who co-chaired the IPCC report.

The world is on track to warm 2.6C by 2100.

Source

Related Articles

Leave a Reply

Back to top button
bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC) $ 76,603.52 1.50%
vested-xor
Vested XOR (VXOR) $ 3,405.08 99,999.99%
ethereum
Ethereum (ETH) $ 2,885.88 7.90%
tether
Tether (USDT) $ 1.00 0.10%
solana
Solana (SOL) $ 197.05 5.10%
bnb
BNB (BNB) $ 601.03 2.15%
usd-coin
USDC (USDC) $ 1.00 0.00%
xrp
XRP (XRP) $ 0.555493 3.61%
dogecoin
Dogecoin (DOGE) $ 0.193975 0.19%
staked-ether
Lido Staked Ether (STETH) $ 2,882.49 7.75%
cardano
Cardano (ADA) $ 0.393483 9.85%
tron
TRON (TRX) $ 0.160627 1.99%
the-open-network
Toncoin (TON) $ 4.93 4.16%
wrapped-steth
Wrapped stETH (WSTETH) $ 3,407.16 7.90%
avalanche-2
Avalanche (AVAX) $ 27.59 3.96%
wrapped-bitcoin
Wrapped Bitcoin (WBTC) $ 76,342.45 1.36%
shiba-inu
Shiba Inu (SHIB) $ 0.000019 1.36%
weth
WETH (WETH) $ 2,881.18 7.68%
chainlink
Chainlink (LINK) $ 12.57 5.27%
bitcoin-cash
Bitcoin Cash (BCH) $ 384.25 3.12%
sui
Sui (SUI) $ 2.36 3.42%
polkadot
Polkadot (DOT) $ 4.15 1.36%
leo-token
LEO Token (LEO) $ 6.26 0.10%
usds
USDS (USDS) $ 1.00 0.15%
uniswap
Uniswap (UNI) $ 9.08 1.64%
litecoin
Litecoin (LTC) $ 71.93 2.85%
wrapped-eeth
Wrapped eETH (WEETH) $ 3,027.27 7.50%
near
NEAR Protocol (NEAR) $ 4.24 2.30%
aptos
Aptos (APT) $ 9.80 4.84%
pepe
Pepe (PEPE) $ 0.000011 10.81%
bittensor
Bittensor (TAO) $ 513.44 1.53%
internet-computer
Internet Computer (ICP) $ 7.78 1.09%
fetch-ai
Artificial Superintelligence Alliance (FET) $ 1.41 0.93%
dai
Dai (DAI) $ 1.00 0.11%
monero
Monero (XMR) $ 166.86 1.89%
stellar
Stellar (XLM) $ 0.100876 4.45%
ethereum-classic
Ethereum Classic (ETC) $ 20.11 4.43%
kaspa
Kaspa (KAS) $ 0.118265 0.06%
ethena-usde
Ethena USDe (USDE) $ 1.00 0.02%
whitebit
WhiteBIT Coin (WBT) $ 19.49 0.69%
aave
Aave (AAVE) $ 185.83 8.87%
polygon-ecosystem-token
POL (ex-MATIC) (POL) $ 0.345609 4.49%
blockstack
Stacks (STX) $ 1.68 0.31%
crypto-com-chain
Cronos (CRO) $ 0.092253 8.66%
okb
OKB (OKB) $ 40.35 3.06%
dogwifcoin
dogwifhat (WIF) $ 2.39 0.59%
first-digital-usd
First Digital USD (FDUSD) $ 1.00 0.05%
arbitrum
Arbitrum (ARB) $ 0.581807 9.27%
mantle
Mantle (MNT) $ 0.679033 14.58%
filecoin
Filecoin (FIL) $ 3.76 3.20%