Stock Markets Analysis and Opinion

Cap Weight vs Equal Weight Divergence, Sending Sell Signal Warning Signal?

2023.09.14 15:58

Chris Kimble

We often watch the performance of cap-weighted indices versus the equal-weight counterpart.

Why? Because divergences in performance often signal market turns.

Cap Weight vs Equal Weight Divergence, Sending Sell Signal Warning Signal?

Today is no different as we display the performances of the cap weight index versus the S&P 500 equal weight index.

And, as you can see, there is a wide divergence brewing.

The past 2 times that the cap-weighted index was performing much stronger than the equal-weighted index, stocks were near a short-term high. And shortly thereafter they declined sharply.

We are seeing the largest spread in the past 6 years between the two indices right now and the question we should be asking ourselves is: Will the result be different this time?

Might be time to monitor your risk trading profile. Stay tuned.

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