Bitcoin’s ‘local market structure’ could push BTC price to new all-time high — Analysts
2024.09.17 17:38
Bitcoin (BTC) price is trading 16% above the local low of $52,546 reached on Sept. 6, leading analysts to believe that this reversal could be the start of a path to new all-time highs.
“Bitcoin’s Local structure turned back to bullish here, after closing higher than the previous September high, and locking in a higher low as well,” independent Bitcoin analyst Jelle said in a Sept. 17 post on X.
Jelle was referring to Bitcoin’s recent high at $60,670 set on Sept. 13, which was higher than the Sept. 3 high of $59,830. According to the analyst, this setup suggests that the market is strong enough to overcome the resistance at $65,000 and later confront supplier congestion at all-time high.
“Looks ripe to take out $65,000 — and then new all-time highs.”BTC/USD 12-hour chart. Source: Jelle
“The local bullish shift looks promising,” pseudonymous analyst Altstein Trader wrote in response to Jelle’s analysis, adding that breaching the” $65,000 mark could set the stage for new all-time highs.”
Meanwhile, popular crypto analyst Daan Crypto Trades spotted Bitcoin trading close to the middle boundary of a descending parallel channel at $57,902.
According to the analyst, this was an “interesting spot” as a 5% move above this level would pave the way for a “bigger move” of about 10% higher. A 15% move from $57,900 places BTC price above $66,000.
Source: Daan Crypto Trades
Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView shows that Bitcoin made the first 5% gain after the Wall Street open on Sept. 18 rising above the $59,300 to $60,738 supplier congestion zone, where the 50-day,100-day and 200-day exponential moving averages (EMAs) currently sit. This move saw BTC price set an intraday high at $61,331 before before pulling back to $60,540 at the time of publication.
As Cointelegraph reported earlier, Bitcoin needed to flip this barrier into support to sustain its bullish momentum.
Related: Bitcoin trader says it’s still ‘too early’ to call BTC price bottom
Supplier congestion at $60,000 has become a key Bitcoin price resistance hurdle, as evidenced by data from IntoTheBlock. Its in/out of the money around price (IOMAP) model shows that Bitcoin faces relatively stiff resistance around this level.
The barrier at $60,000 lies close to the $60,465 and $62,278 price range, where approximately 604,760 BTC were previously bought by approximately 1.53 million addresses.
Bitcoin IOMAP chart. Source: IntoTheBlock
Additional data from CoinGlass reveals massive ask orders building up around this level, reinforcing its significance to bears.
Bitcoin liquidation heatmap. Source: Coinglass
The liquidation heat map above shows that around $40.13 million in ask orders are sitting around the $60,000 level, adding to the stiffness of the resistance on the upside.
Meanwhile, Kyledoop shared data from CryptoQuant, revealing a rise in the futures sentiment index since the beginning of the year.
According to CryptoQuant, an increase in this metric often precedes significant price surges.
“With an 89% historical correlation to price jumps across four cycles, #Bitcoin looks poised for potential growth.”
Bitcoin futures sentiment index. Source: CryptoQuant
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.
