Asia FX: Yen surges on BOJ rate hike bets; won unchanged after BOK hold
2025.01.15 22:47
Investing.com– Most Asian currencies firmed slightly on Thursday, while the dollar retreated as mildly softer U.S. inflation data fueled expectations of lower interest rates.
Among major regional movers, the South Korean won rose slightly after the Bank of Korea unexpectedly held interest rates, amid heightened political uncertainty in the country.
The Japanese yen raced to a near one-month high amid increased speculation that the Bank of Japan will hike interest rates next week.
Most Asian currencies were sitting on strong overnight gains, tracking sharp losses in the dollar after Wednesday’s consumer inflation reading.
The and steadied in Asian trade after tumbling from near two-year peaks in overnight trade, as inflation data read a touch weaker than expected.
But anticipation of more key economic cues this week still kept the dollar relatively well-bid, with the dollar index remaining above the 109 level.
Won little changed after BOK holds rates but flags more cuts
The South Korean won’s pair fell 0.1% after the BOK unexpectedly kept interest rates steady. But Governor Rhee Chang-yong signaled that more easing was on the way.
The BOK at 3%, ducking expectations for a 25 basis point cut. The hold came amid heightened political uncertainty in the country, after impeached President Yung Suk Yeol was arrested this week over a failed attempt to impose military law.
Yeol’s move had sparked sharp losses in South Korean markets through December, pushing the won to a 15-year low. This trend also likely drove the BOK’s decision to hold.
But Governor Rhee signaled that policymakers were ready to cut interest rates further in the coming months, especially as economic growth remained weak. The BOK had cut rates twice in 2024.
Yen races to near 1-mth high on BOJ hike speculation
The Japanese yen was the best-performing Asian currency on Thursday, with the pair dropping 0.5% to 155.59 yen- its lowest level since mid-December.
The yen surged this week as BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda signaled that the central bank will consider raising interest rates , amid steady growth in inflation and wages.
Reports from Reuters and Bloomberg also pointed to a strong possibility of a January rate hike- a move that bodes well for the yen.
The Japanese currency, along with most of its regional peers, were battered by concerns over higher-for-longer U.S. interest rates in 2025.
Broader Asian currencies mostly firmed on Thursday. The Chinese yuan’s pair fell slightly, with focus turning to key fourth-quarter data due on Friday.
The Australian dollar’s pair was an outlier, dropping 0.2% even as read substantially stronger than expected for December. Strength in the labor market diminishes the chances of rate cuts by the Reserve Bank of Australia, which could begin trimming rates by as soon as February.
The Aussie rebounded sharply from a near five-year low this week.
The Singapore dollar’s pair was flat, while the Indian rupee’s pair hovered above the 86 rupee mark, but remained close to record highs.
