Asia FX weakens with yuan volatile, dollar steady ahead of PCE data
2024.07.26 01:28
Investing.com– Most Asian currencies moved in a flat-to-low range on Friday with the Chinese yuan logging wild swings amid suspected intervention by the People’s Bank, while the dollar steadied ahead of key inflation data.
Weak risk appetite saw traders remain averse to most regional currencies this week, while the Japanese yen saw extended buying as it benefited from safe haven demand, while an unwinding carry trade also benefited the currency. The yen was by far the best performer among its Asian peers this week.
Commodity-linked currencies, particularly those with exposure to China, saw some relief on Friday, with the Australian and New Zealand dollars strengthening slightly. But the two were nursing steep losses this week.
Dollar steady after strong GDP; inflation, Fed in focus
The and both steadied on Friday after seeing some resilience on stronger-than-expected data for the second quarter.
The reading pushed up hopes that the U.S. economy was headed for a soft landing, where growth will remain steady while inflation eases.
Focus is now squarely on data- which is the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge. The reading is due later on Friday and is expected to show inflation eased further in June.
PCE data also comes just days before a , where the central bank is widely expected to keep rates unchanged. But any signals on interest rate cuts will be closely watched, with markets keeping intact expectations for a September cut.
Chinese yuan logs wild swings after suspected intervention
The Chinese yuan weakened on Friday, pulling back after suspected intervention by the Chinese government saw the currency appreciate sharply against the dollar on Thursday.
The pair had fallen sharply from near eight-month highs on Thursday, with its outsized drop sparking speculation over government intervention. The currency was grappling with increased selling pressure after a series of surprise interest rate cuts by the PBOC this week.
Doubts over a slowing economic recovery also weighed on the yuan.
Japanese yen outperforms, BOJ awaited
The Japanese yen was among the best performers this week, extending a strong run after suspected intervention by Tokyo earlier in July boosted the currency.
The pair was down 2.4% this week- its biggest weekly drop since late-April.
However, the yen’s advance was somewhat stalled by , which showed inflation remained largely muted in July.
The soft inflation reading came just days before a , with analysts split over whether the central bank will have enough headroom to hike interest rates by 10 basis points.
Broader Asian currencies were mostly nursing steep losses against the dollar this week, as risk appetite soured. The Australian dollar’s pair and the New Zealand dollar’s pair were both down nearly 2% this week.
The Indian rupee’s pair steadied after apparent Reserve Bank intervention pulled the pair away from record highs hit on Thursday.
The South Korean won’s pair rose 0.3%, while the Singapore dollar’s pair was flat after the Monetary Authority of Singapore kept monetary policy unchanged.
