Asia FX gains on increased US rate cut bets, China stimulus in focus
2024.12.12 00:22
Investing.com– Most Asian currencies inched higher on Thursday as U.S. inflation data cemented bets for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut next week, while focus was on China’s annual policy meeting for clues on fresh stimulus measures.
U.S. data on Wednesday showed inflation rose at its fastest pace in seven months in November, but was largely in line with expectations. This led to markets pricing in a 98% chance for a 25 basis point cut next week, up from 81% seen last week, according to .
The fell 0.2%, while also edged lower in Asia hours on Thursday. But the greenback still remained mostly resilient on doubts over how quickly the Fed will cut interest rates in 2025.
Chinese yuan rises; focus on CEWC
The Chinese yuan’s offshore pair fell 0.2% on Wednesday, while the onshore pair was largely unchanged.
Focus was now on China’s Central Economic Work Conference (CEWC), a two-day meeting which is set to conclude later on Thursday. The CEWC is a pivotal event as it discusses how China will address internal challenges like slowing growth, weak consumption, and external pressures such as trade tensions.
China’s top leaders and policymakers are weighing the option of devaluing the yuan in 2025 in anticipation of increased U.S. trade tariffs when Donald Trump returns to the White House next month, Reuters reported on Thursday, citing sources.
This potential strategy highlights China’s acknowledgment of the need for stronger economic stimulus to counter Trump’s proposed punitive trade actions, the report said.
The South Korean won’s pair rose 0.3% amid an ongoing political crisis in the country. Among recent developments, the South Korean police tried to raid President Yoon Suk Yeol’s office on Wednesday, after he became subject to a criminal investigation over his attempt to declare martial law in the country.
“I will fight to the end,” Yoon said on Thursday, while lashing out at his political opponents, amid demands to remove him from power via impeachment.
The Japanese yen’s pair inched down 0.1% lower, while the Singapore dollar’s pair ticked slightly lower.
Elsewhere, the Philippine peso’s pair fell 0.3%, while the Indian rupee’s inched marginally higher.
Australian dollar jumps after employment data
The Australian dollar was an outperformer among its peers on Thursday, with the pair up 0.8% after data showed the country’s rose more than expected in November while unexpectedly fell.
The data led to market participants further paring bets that the Reserve Bank of Australia would cut interest rates in the near term. Broad consensus is that the RBA will begin easing in the second quarter of 2025.
The RBA on Tuesday had held the rates unchanged, citing tight labor market conditions and stubborn underlying inflation in the county.
