Economic news

Argentina year-end inflation estimate drops to 146% in cenbank poll

2024.06.06 18:35

(Reuters) – Argentina’s inflation estimate for the end of this year came down to 146.4%, some 15 percentage points below the previous forecast, a central bank poll of analysts showed on Thursday, signaling an improving outlook for the embattled economy.

For May, forecasts from 23 consultancies and 13 financial institutions estimated monthly inflation down 2.3 percentage points to 5.2%, while June inflation was seen down 1.3 points from the prior forecast at 5.5%.

Latin America’s No. 3 economy should, meanwhile, shrink 3.8% in real terms this year, the poll predicted, a 0.3-point deterioration from the previous forecast.

© Reuters. A greengrocer counts Argentine peso bills at a local market,as Argentina is due to release consumer inflation data for April, in Buenos Aires, Argentina May 11, 2024. REUTERS/Irina Dambrauskas/File Photo

Forecasts for unemployment edged up 0.4 percentage points to 7.4% for the first quarter of the year.

Despite four straight months of slowing monthly price rises, annualized inflation is still hovering close to 300%, and the government of libertarian President Javier Milei has pushed a tough austerity campaign in a bid to combat the crisis.



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