Stock Markets Analysis and Opinion

Are Semiconductors Breaking Down From Historic Momentum Peak?

2022.04.27 19:17

As inflation burst onto investor’s radars, so did rising interest rates. And this combination has hurt growth stocks.

And in particular, it’s hurt technology stocks and key market leaders like the Semiconductor ETF (NASDAQ:SMH).

This isn’t the first time we highlighted this critical sector and why investors should be cautious and watchful of the Semiconductors. You can find our most recent article on the topic here.

Are Semiconductors Breaking Down From Historic Momentum Peak?SOX Monthly Chart

Today’s chart highlights the 13+ year up-trend channel that the Semiconductor Index (SOX) has been marked by each (1). We can even see that the SOX briefly broke out above overhead channel resistance, hitting its 261.8% Fibonacci extension level.

But the Semiconductors formed a year-long topping pattern and have recently broken below support at (2). And this comes after the SOX recorded its highest ever level of momentum. Yikes!

Could the next stop be at the 161.8% Fibonacci level and lower price channel support at 2100? That’s a long way from current prices.

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