Traders see Sept start to Fed easing, with 25 bps rate cut
2024.07.31 15:26
(Reuters) – Traders on Wednesday kept bets the Federal Reserve will start dialing back on restrictive policy in September, starting with a 25 basis-point interest-rate cut at that month’s meeting and delivering two more like-sized rate cuts in each of November and December, after the Fed acknowledged “some further progress” towards its 2% inflation goal.
Before the Fed’s statement, released at the end of a meeting at which officials decided to hold the policy rate in the 5.25%-5.5% range, interest-rate futures contracts were pricing in an 89% chance of a 25-basis point reduction in September, with the balance of bets on a bigger 50-basis point cut. Rate futures prices now reflect a 95% chance the first rate cut will be 25 basis points.
