Commodities and Futures News

Oil prices rising amid reduction in US reserves and geopolitical risks

2023.03.28 21:34


Oil prices rising amid reduction in US reserves and geopolitical risks

By Ray Johnson

Budrigannews.com – As disruptions in Kurdish crude shipments and a potential large draw in U.S. inventories pointed to tighter supply in the near future, oil prices rose in early Asian trade on Wednesday, extending gains into a third consecutive session.

As a series of assurances from regulatory bodies allayed concerns about an impending crisis, crude prices also received some support from improved sentiment toward the banking sector.

The unanticipated drop of nearly 6.1 million barrels in the week ending March 24 was the sharpest since the middle of 2022, according to API data. The reading typically signals a similar trend from later in the day, which is anticipated to show a negligible week-over-week increase in inventories.

by 21:02 ET (01:02 GMT), it had increased 0.2% to $78.52 a barrel and 0.8% to $73.79 a barrel. After rebounding last week from lows that had been seen for 15 months, both contracts were expected to rise for the third session in a row.

After an arbitration determined that Baghdad’s approval was required to ship the oil, Iraq halted exports of approximately 450,000 barrels per day from the Kurdistan region through Turkey. This represented approximately 0.5% of the daily global supply.

Oil prices could be supported this year by continued disruptions in Kurdish supply, according to analysts, with Barclays (LON:) predicting a price increase of at least $3 by year’s end.

Oil prices also benefited this week as traders became less concerned that a recession would reduce oil demand this year as concerns about a banking crisis eased.

However, this week’s union strikes in France and Germany halted economic activity, indicating a slight decline in oil demand in the near future. While air travel and public transportation in Germany were disrupted, refineries in France experienced staggered operations. 

Oil markets are currently anticipating from China this week, to check the condition of a financial recuperation on the planet’s biggest rough merchant.

However, analyst estimates predict that growth will slow in March compared to the previous month as a post-COVID economic recovery stalls. In spite of worsening economic conditions, China is still struggling with weak domestic and international demand.

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