3 headwinds facing German economy in 2025
2025.01.25 05:21
The German economy in 2025 is facing critical challenges, primarily driven by weak household consumption, a decline in export performance relative to global demand, and low potential growth, as per analysts at UBS Global Research.
Each of these factors contributes to the broader economic landscape, necessitating attention from policymakers.
Weak household consumption remains a central concern for the German economy. High inflation and rising living costs have significantly impacted household purchasing power, leading to reduced consumer confidence.
As households tighten their budgets, the overall consumption levels decline, which further stifles economic growth.
Investing.com — This environment not only affects retail and service sectors but also dampens investment sentiment, creating a cycle that limits recovery.
In addition, Germany’s export performance has weakened relative to the global demand landscape.
While the country has historically been a dominant player in international trade, recent data indicates a lag in its export growth compared to other nations.
Factors such as supply chain disruptions, rising production costs, and shifting consumer preferences have contributed to this decline.
As competitor countries capitalize on new opportunities, Germany must address its export strategies to remain competitive in a rapidly changing global market.
Lastly, the issue of low potential growth looms large over Germany’s economic horizon. Structural obstacles, including an aging population and insufficient workforce growth, have hindered productivity advancements.
This stagnation in potential growth limits the economy’s capacity to expand and innovate, ultimately impacting long-term sustainability.
Without reforms to enhance productivity and attract talent, Germany risks falling behind its peers in Europe and the global economy.
