Commodities Analysis & Opinion

Rally In Oil Stocks Likely Over Should Support Break

For over 2 years, all crude oil prices did was go higher and higher. And consumers have been feeling this pain as the gas pump.

Well, this month, crude oil prices turned sharply lower, joining the broad-based commodities selloff. Could this be the start of a long-awaited pullback?

If so, oil-related stocks and sectors would likely also turn lower. It’s that day of the week, so let’s turn to Joe Friday for “The facts, Ma’am. Just the facts.”

Today’s chart is a long-term monthly overview of VanEck Oil Services ETF (NYSE:OIH).

OIH Monthly Chart

As you can see, OIH has been in a falling channel marked by each (1) since it started creating lower highs back in 2008.

The latest 2-year counter-trend rally looks to have hit dual resistance at (2), where OIH could be creating a large bearish engulfing pattern. And this month’s turn lower is now testing important trend line support at (3). If this support breaks, oil stocks could head much lower!

Could the oil stocks’ counter-trend rally be over? Stay tuned.

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