Stock Market News

Earnings name: Western Union reports growth and strategic progress in Q4

2024.02.10 21:35

Western Union Co. (NYSE:) has introduced sturdy monetary outcomes for the fourth quarter and full 12 months of 2023, highlighting a interval of serious transaction growth and strategic developments. The firm’s fourth-quarter income rose to $1.050 billion, marking a 3% improve on a continuing forex foundation, whereas adjusted earnings per share (EPS) grew by 16% to $0.37. Western Union emphasised its concentrate on enhancing buyer expertise, increasing its market attain, and investing in digital transformation, which has led to a constant transaction growth exceeding 5% for 2 consecutive quarters, a primary in almost ten years. The firm additionally returned $650 million to shareholders by way of dividends and inventory buybacks.

Key Takeaways

– Western Union’s fourth-quarter income reached $1.050 billion, a 3% year-over-year improve on a continuing forex foundation.

– Adjusted EPS for the quarter was $0.37, up 16% from the earlier 12 months.

– The firm achieved transaction growth of over 5% for the second consecutive quarter.

– Western Union returned $650 million to shareholders in 2023 by way of dividends and inventory buybacks.

– A partnership with Visa (NYSE:) was introduced, increasing providers in 40 international locations throughout 5 areas.

– The firm expects 2024 adjusted income to be between $4.1 billion and $4.2 billion, with adjusted working margins of 19% to 21%, and EPS of $1.65 to $1.75.

Company Outlook

– Western Union tasks 2024 adjusted income in the vary of $4.1 billion to $4.2 billion.

– Adjusted working margins for 2024 are anticipated to be between 19% and 21%.

– The firm targets an EPS vary of $1.65 to $1.75 for the subsequent 12 months.

– Focus on rising the worthwhile Consumer Services section income by double-digit percentages yearly.

Bearish Highlights

– Revenue per transaction in the bodily retail enterprise (excluding Iraq) has declined as a consequence of strategic value reductions and FX yield adjustments.

– Overall volumes in the Middle East have decreased, though the transaction combine stays steady.

Bullish Highlights

– Strong transaction growth in the digital enterprise and steady traits in the retail enterprise.

– Double-digit income growth in the Consumer Services section for the second consecutive 12 months.

– Improved buyer retention and acquisition, with a concentrate on high-quality cross-border remittance prospects.

– A optimistic shift in the LTV to ratio, permitting for adjusted advertising expenditures.

Misses

– The firm didn’t present particular steering for income growth in the bodily retail enterprise for 2024.

Q&A highlights

– Executives mentioned the affect of geopolitical occasions in the Middle East, noting a lower in general volumes however steady transaction combine.

– A 15% decline in buyer acquisition prices in 2023 was reported, attributed to improved digital retention and lowered charges.

– Western Union is sustaining its goal LTV to CAC aim and is adjusting advertising spending to align with this goal.

Western Union’s monetary outcomes and strategic initiatives point out an organization that’s adapting to market calls for whereas specializing in growth areas comparable to digital providers and buyer retention. The partnership with Visa and investments in automation and AI showcase the corporate’s dedication to innovation and effectivity. With a powerful stability sheet and a optimistic outlook for 2024, Western Union seems well-positioned to proceed its trajectory of growth and worth creation for its shareholders.

InvestingPro Insights

Western Union (WU) has demonstrated a powerful dedication to shareholder worth, as mirrored in their aggressive share buyback technique and a noteworthy shareholder yield. This is underscored by the corporate’s spectacular observe file of sustaining dividend funds for 18 consecutive years, which is a testomony to its monetary stability and investor-friendly strategy. The InvestingPro Tips spotlight that Western Union not solely trades at a low earnings a number of, with a P/E Ratio of 6.37, but additionally pays a major dividend to shareholders, boasting a dividend yield of seven.5% as of the final dividend ex-date on December 19, 2023.

Despite some challenges, comparable to internet revenue anticipated to drop this 12 months and short-term obligations exceeding liquid belongings, analysts stay optimistic concerning the firm’s profitability. Western Union is predicted to be worthwhile over the past twelve months as of Q1 2023 and for your entire 12 months forward. The firm’s Price / Book ratio stands at 7.45, which could recommend the next valuation in comparison with guide worth, but this might be justified by the corporate’s strategic initiatives and its digital transformation efforts which can be driving growth.

Investors on the lookout for extra in-depth evaluation can discover further InvestingPro Tips for Western Union, which might information funding selections. For these in unlocking the complete potential of InvestingPro’s insights, utilizing the coupon code SFY24 will present an extra 10% off a 2-year InvestingPro+ subscription, or SFY241 for an extra 10% off a 1-year subscription. With the complete suite of ideas obtainable, buyers can achieve a complete understanding of Western Union’s monetary well being and market place.

Full transcript – Western Union (WU) Q4 2023:

Operator: Good day and welcome to the Western Union Fourth Quarter 2023 Results Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Please word, this occasion is being recorded. I’d now like to show the convention over to Tom Hadley, Vice President of Investor Relations. Tom, please go forward.

Tom Hadley: Thank you. On in the present day’s name, we’ll focus on the corporate’s fourth quarter and full 12 months 2023 outcomes and then we’ll take your questions. The slides that accompany this name and webcast might be discovered at westernunion.com beneath the Investor Relations tab and will stay obtainable after the decision. Additional operational statistics have been offered in supplemental tables with our press launch. Joining me on the decision in the present day is our CEO, Devin McGranahan; and our CFO, Matt Cagwin. Today’s name is being recorded and our feedback embody forward-looking statements. Please seek advice from the cautionary language in the earnings launch and in Western Union’s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission together with the 2022 Form 10-Okay for extra info regarding components that might trigger precise outcomes to vary materially from the forward-looking statements. During the decision, we’ll focus on some objects that don’t conform to usually accepted accounting ideas. We have reconciled these objects to probably the most comparable GAAP measures in our earnings launch connected to our Form 8-Okay in addition to on our web site, westernunion.com, beneath the Investor Relations part. I’ll now flip the decision over to our Chief Executive Officer, Devin McGranahan.

Devin McGranahan: Good afternoon and welcome to Western Union’s fourth quarter 2023 monetary outcomes convention name. Now two years into my tenure as CEO, I’m happy with the enhancements we’re seeing in our trajectory beneath our Evolve 2025 technique. As you recognize, over the past 18 months, we’ve got targeted on returning our digital enterprise to double-digit income growth and reaching stability in our retail enterprise. The fourth quarter is additional proof that we’re certainly on the precise path. Today, we’re reporting a powerful end to the 12 months with optimistic adjusted income growth and improved transaction traits throughout each our retail and digital companies with transaction growth north of 5% for the second consecutive quarter. Consistent and sustainable transaction growth is the strongest indicator of the long run well being of our enterprise. It has been almost a decade for the reason that firm has delivered 5% plus transaction growth for a number of quarters in a row excluding the COVID restoration interval. We are happy with this vital change in our trajectory. Digging in, taking a look at 1 / 4 degree traits, you may see the change in trajectory is each widespread and significant, whether or not trying on the U.S. to Mexico, France to Africa or the world to the Philippines, these corridors present the identical image, appreciable enhancements in transaction growth charges over the past 18 months. As this graph illustrates, our work over the past 18 months to enhance our buyer expertise, streamline our operational processes and speed up our market effectiveness is driving considerably improved outcomes. Our confidence in reaching sustainable, worthwhile income growth by 2025 will increase every quarter as we stabilize our retail enterprise, speed up our digital enterprise broaden our ecosystem choices, improve our buyer and agent experiences and preserve industry-leading margins like we did this previous quarter. For the fourth quarter, our income reached $1.050 billion [ph], reflecting a 3% improve on a continuing forex foundation when excluding the contribution from Business Solutions in comparison with the identical interval final 12 months. Adjusted earnings per share got here in sturdy at $0.37, up 16% on a year-over-year foundation and allowed us to attain the higher finish of our EPS steering. Maintaining our lengthy historical past of returning capital to shareholders, we produced one other 12 months of strong money circulate with working money circulate of $800 million of which $650 million was returned to our shareholders through dividends and inventory buybacks. As we mentioned at our Investor Day in 2022, up to now, we’ve got funded all of the required investments in our transformation whereas sustaining our 19% to 21% adjusted margins and persevering with sturdy returns of capital to our buyers. Matt will additional focus on our monetary outcomes in extra element and present our 2024 outlook later in this name. In addition to bettering monetary outcomes, we proceed to execute effectively on our strategic priorities. Over the final 12 months, we’ve got made significant progress on our most vital initiatives, together with bettering our retail operations, updating our digital platforms and go-to-market technique, refining our buyer and agent experiences and enhancing our general worth proposition in {the marketplace}. While our journey will not be over, I wish to share among the highlights from this previous 12 months. Starting with our retail enterprise. In 2023, we made materials enhancements to our point-of-sale system with new functionalities like keep in mind me, fast resend, debit cost enablement, digital receipts and enhanced payout to account capabilities. These enhancements, whereas not ground-breaking, have made our retail buyer and agent expertise extra aggressive and have contributed considerably to the enhancements you see in our retail transaction traits over the past 18 months. Additionally, we’ll proceed to roll out these functionalities throughout the globe and anticipate additional advantages in 2024. In addition to our point-of-sale enhancements, we additionally made vital progress on increasing our managed distribution technique which incorporates each owned and idea shops in LACA, Europe, the Middle East and APAC. Recall that by enabling an unique Western Union expertise in high-impact areas, we consider we’ve got extra management over the client expertise can take a look at new merchandise and providers and creates a brand new low-cost acquisition engine for our digital enterprise. This technique which previous to 2023, was largely a Latin American phenomena with owned networks in each Argentina and Brazil has now been expanded to each area in the corporate. In 2023, we opened 100 new owned areas in 200 new idea shops which elevated our managed distribution technique by over 35%. In addition to new retailer openings, we additionally up to date roughly 30,000 high-impact retail areas all over the world with our new Western Union model format presenting a extra up to date and omni-channel message to our retail prospects. To complement our managed distribution technique, final 12 months, we additionally enhanced our digital capabilities, together with launching our next-generation digital app now in 12 international locations across the globe, launching a digital pockets in 4 European and one Latin American nation and implementing a brand new digital go-to-market technique. This technique has allowed us to drive extra site visitors to our digital platforms, improve our conversion charges, enhance our advertising messages and improve our worth proposition whereas materially decreasing our buyer acquisition prices. As proof of this, in 2023, we have been capable of develop new digital prospects double digits whereas on the similar time, decreasing our buyer acquisition prices by over 15%. The scalable, cost-effective new buyer acquisition is the inspiration for continued double-digit growth of recent digital transactions. Given the journey we’re on, ongoing operational efficiency enchancment is a strong driver of agent and buyer satisfaction and finally will result in improved retention. Last 12 months, we made vital adjustments throughout key parts of our buyer and agent experiences. These adjustments resulted in thousands and thousands of fewer cellphone calls to our name heart and enhancements in each agent and buyer satisfaction. For instance, we improved self-service instruments like our Track a Transfer to combine throughout channels in order that prospects can get standing updates on their switch by way of the Western Union cell app, no matter whether or not that switch was initiated on the app or at greater than over 400,000 retail energetic areas all over the world. As you’ll recall, in late 2022, we began rolling out our new digital go-to-market technique. This technique included revised advertising, a concentrate on funnel effectiveness, improved onboarding processes, promotional pricing for brand spanking new prospects and market-based pricing on subsequent transactions. The program has led to double-digit new buyer growth and double-digit transaction growth all through 2023. By the tip of the primary quarter of 2024, we’ll anniversary in [ph] each, the U.S. and the European launches of this technique and as such, we anticipate the hole between transaction growth charges and income growth charges to proceed to slender all year long. Likewise, on the retail aspect, final 12 months, we additionally started rolling out a brand new go-to-market program to enrich our concentrate on location productiveness. That program included revised advertising seasonal and vacation promotions and some hall and geographic-specific pricing initiatives. The majority of those actions occurred in the second and third quarters of final 12 months and we at the moment are holistically pleased with the outcomes that they’re producing. We consider these adjustments have helped us ship optimistic retail transaction growth for the primary time in a few years and has bolstered our perception that we will obtain a steady retail enterprise in the close to future. One of the areas which have benefited immensely from these adjustments carried out over the past 12 months is our APAC area, a area that has been in cyclical decline for over 5 years. APAC was early in the launch of our next-generation digital app and they’ve been advancing our efforts by way of managed distribution. This area now has among the highest digital new buyer growth charges, the best digital conversion charges and has probably the most vital change in transaction growth charges we’ve got seen wherever in the world, led by Australia. Transaction growth charges in APAC have improved 1,000 foundation factors or extra year-over-year in each quarter of 2023. This sort of enchancment, you may see, when you have got the precise expertise, the precise distribution technique and nice buyer and agent expertise. We consider the precise person interface and a eager concentrate on funnel administration will assist us meet our expectations of returning our digital enterprise to double-digit income growth. Looking forward, whereas there’s extra work to be performed and the crew is dedicated to the continuing steady enchancment of our core remittance enterprise, we’re additionally working diligently to broaden our complete addressable market past cross-border remittances. Given the power of our model, the attain of our distribution and the belief of almost 120 million prospects, we’re targeted on creating and delivering further merchandise and providers that cater to the wants of the aspiring populations of the world. This technique at present consists of our digital pockets, our retail cash order enterprise, our invoice cost enterprise and we’ve got lately added merchandise like our pay as you go debit card, lending providers in Argentina and Australia and a 4x forex conversion enterprise that we’ve got launched in choose areas throughout Europe and APAC. We now have over 200,000 prospects onboarded to our digital pockets in Europe and over 50,000 in Argentina. Our retail cash order enterprise which we’ve got targeted on over the past 18 months has grown considerably over the past couple of years with principal up almost 20% and investable belongings up over $135 million. Growth in investable belongings has been vital for a enterprise that generates substantial income on its asset portfolio. This enterprise now accounts for roughly 1/3 of our shopper providers income, previously known as Other in our financials. With a revamped worth proposition, improved distribution and a brand new point-of-sale system on the horizon, we’re enthusiastic about persevering with to see sturdy growth in this product forward. As we proceed this journey, our aim will not be solely to drive natural growth but additionally search acquisition alternatives that may allow us to construct stronger buyer loyalty and a rise in our portion of our prospects’ monetary wallets over time. As one of many key pillars of our Evolve 2025 technique, we consider we’re in the very early innings of this market growth alternative and we’ll proceed to speculate accordingly. Finally, I wish to speak briefly about our automation journey and highlighting new partnership that we entered into in the fourth quarter. We have a protracted historical past of innovation and have continued to broaden our automation capabilities, ensuing in value efficiencies, greater high quality output, improved buyer and agent experiences and threat discount. Over the previous two years, we’ve got made vital investments in robotic course of automation, constructing capabilities in agent collections and reactivation, buyer refund processing, threat exception decisioning, proactive agent credit score restrict will increase and receiver identify adjustments. While the elimination of handbook processes drives value efficiencies the velocity and high quality of the outputs have additionally led to higher experiences. We at the moment are taking an analogous strategy to synthetic intelligence as we’ve got with robotics together with exploring methods to make use of generative AI in areas like software program improvement, advertising content material creation, value decisioning, buyer care help and translation providers. While early in the journey, we consider generative AI has the potential to extend income, additional enhance effectivity and productiveness over time and thus present further worth to our shareholders. Last, we’re happy to announce a significant growth of our relationship with Visa. This long-term international strategic relationship covers issuance, Visa Direct and additional permits collaboration between the 2 corporations throughout 40 international locations and 5 areas. Visa has been a long-term strategic associate of Western Union and we’re thrilled to increase this relationship for years to come back. Looking forward, we stay optimistic about our strategic route and the optimistic progress we’ve got made. We are happy with the change in the underlying trajectory of our enterprise pushed by improved transaction traits throughout each digital and retail companies whereas persevering with to ship improved prime line outcomes and sturdy money circulate. We have additionally made substantial progress on our expertise evolution, together with a significant realignment of the highest 100 executives on the firm. This was performed by way of each inside promotions and exterior hires and I consider we now have the precise folks in the precise roles to permit us to execute on our Evolve 2025 technique. We have a loyal buyer base that belief our model and values our providers. We have a world community that gives unparalleled entry and comfort to almost 120 million folks all over the world and have now achieved a turnaround in transaction traits, thus validating the relevance of our providing and our model. We have a proficient and devoted crew that’s targeted on executing our technique and driving innovation and we’ve got a transparent imaginative and prescient and early progress on how we will leverage our belongings to create new income streams and growth alternatives. I’m assured that we’ve got the precise technique, the precise capabilities, the precise crew and the precise mindset to attain our strategic priorities. Thank you for becoming a member of the decision in the present day. I’ll now flip the decision over to Matt to debate our monetary outcomes and our forecast for subsequent 12 months in extra element.

Matt Cagwin: Thank you, Devin and good afternoon, everybody. I’m happy to be right here in the present day to stroll you thru our 2023 fourth quarter and full 12 months outcomes and our 2024 monetary outlook. Before I start, I wish to share with you the up to date names of our segments extra precisely replicate the underlying companies related to them. Our C2C section will now be known as Consumer Money Transfer or CMT and our different section can be known as Consumer Services or CS, as Devin talked about earlier. The names of the segments are the one factor that modified. We haven’t modified the composite of the enterprise inside them. For the complete 12 months, adjusted income grew 4% which is meaningfully higher than our authentic outlook of down 2% to 4% as a consequence of higher core outcomes, the good thing about Iraq and Argentinian inflation. In the fourth quarter, we delivered adjusted income of $1.1 billion, representing a 3% improve year-over-year. Results benefited from a 400 foundation level affect from Argentinian inflation, a income improve from Iraq and the continuing progress of our Evolve 2025 technique. Fourth quarter outcomes have been above our expectations. As mentioned throughout our final name, Iraq quantity slowed in the fourth quarter. They benefited our outcomes by 3 share factors versus 8% profit in the third quarter and a ten% profit in the second quarter. For the complete 12 months, Iraq contributed 6% to adjusted income growth. Uncertainty stays excessive in Iraq as a result of difficult regulatory setting. When we final spoke in October, our largest agent in the nation had lately been suspended, main us to consider that the volumes we return to ranges nearer to 2022. This agent although, due to this fact, has been reactivated in early December. CMT transactions grew 5% in the quarter, led by continued momentum of our branded digital enterprise which grew double digits Growth in our digital white label enterprise and continued stabilization of our retail transaction traits ex Iraq. Adjusted working margin was 16.1% in comparison with 15.8% final 12 months, with the rise as a consequence of internet financial savings associated to our working expense redeployment program and adjustments in overseas forex partially offset by greater advertising investments. In 2023, our full 12 months adjusted working margin was 19.6% which was in line with our outlook. Adjusted EPS was $0.37 versus $0.32 final 12 months with the present interval benefiting from greater working revenue and decrease share rely. For the complete 12 months, we delivered adjusted EPS of $1.74 which was meaningfully above our authentic outlook of $1.55 to $1.65. This was pushed by higher income efficiency and the good thing about our working expense redeployment program which we partially reinvested again in the enterprise by accelerating our go-to-market packages in each retail and branded digital in addition to incremental expertise investments. Now turning to our CMT enterprise; income declined 1% on a continuing forex foundation with transaction growth of 5%. Excluding our CMT home cash switch enterprise, income and transaction growth would have been 1 share level greater for each. Branded digital income was up 4% on a continuing forex foundation with transaction growth of 13%, pushed by our go-to-market technique launched in the third quarter of 2022 which confirmed continued momentum after reaching optimistic income growth final quarter. We’re excited concerning the sustainability of our transaction growth which has elevated double digits for the third consecutive quarter whereas reaching optimistic income growth for the second consecutive quarter. Leading the best way is North America, the primary area the place we launched our new go-to-market technique which drove mid to excessive teenagers transaction growth in the fourth quarter and income in the excessive single-digit vary. We are additionally seeing spectacular outcomes in APAC as Devin mentioned earlier led by Australia which was an early adopter of our new digital platform. APAC drove mid-teens transaction growth and mid-single-digit income growth in the fourth quarter which we anticipate will proceed to enhance as we lap the go-to-market launch in mid-2023. Moving to our retail enterprise; we maintained steady transaction traits for the second consecutive quarter as we proceed to make progress towards our strategic priorities, together with operational enhancements, optimization to our community and enhancing our worth proposition in {the marketplace}. When normalizing for Russia, Belarus and Iraq, we improved full 12 months retail transaction growth by 500 foundation factors. Europe and CIS led the development in our retail transaction traits in the fourth quarter, with transactions rising in the low single-digit vary, pushed by our Evolve 2025 technique. We additionally benefited as we lapsed an agent loss in the fourth quarter and have executed effectively on our remediation plan for the second agent that we’re dropping. Over the final couple of years, our European retail enterprise has not solely confronted macro-related challenges like battle and inflation however has additionally misplaced two vital brokers. With this backdrop, we’ve got taken the chance to check new approaches in {the marketplace}. For instance, we opened 100 idea shops throughout Europe in almost 20 markets in 2023. We additionally improved our worth proposition in key markets, driving double-digit transaction growth in our impartial channel throughout the second half of 2023. North America grew retail transactions low single digit in the fourth quarter persevering with its momentum from the third quarter. Prior to this 12 months, our North America retail enterprise hadn’t seen optimistic transaction growth for the reason that second quarter of 2017. The enhancements we made like One Step Refund and Quick Resend helped to drive higher buyer and agent expertise. Now transferring to our Consumer Services section previously often called Other which represents 7% of complete firm income in the quarter. Revenue for the complete 12 months was up 13% on a reported foundation, whereas income in the fourth quarter was down 1%. The Revenue in the fourth quarter was impacted by harder comparisons as a consequence of a portfolio optimization that we accomplished final 12 months, additional optimization of our float portfolio in the present interval which resulted in a loss in the present quarter however will add worth over time in addition to a 5 share level drag associated to the web affect of Argentine peso devaluation. We are enthusiastic about our Consumer Services section with 2023 marking the second consecutive 12 months of double-digit income growth. With the improvements that Devin highlighted earlier in the present day and over the previous few quarters, comparable to our new retail cash order platform launched in the fourth quarter, our pay as you go card that was relaunched in the third quarter or our digital pockets that is at present stay in 5 international locations, we’re bullish that we will proceed to develop shopper providers in the low double-digit vary going ahead. At our Investor Day, we launched a 5-year $150 million working expense redeployment program and we really feel excellent concerning the progress we have made up to now. Broadly talking, we see alternative to proceed to drive effectivity, handle our value construction and leverage our scale. In 2023, we took motion that allowed us to save lots of over $50 million. The financial savings final 12 months have been primarily pushed by expertise reallocation, expertise efficiencies, advertising enhancements, value and enhancements and optimizing our actual property footprint. As a results of these financial savings, we have been capable of make investments in expertise developments, benefiting our ecosystem platform and our retail point-of-sale system in addition to different alternatives like increasing our managed distribution community. Heading into 2024, I stay optimistic of our continued effectivity alternatives and I’m assured that we will hit an analogous financial savings quantity once more this 12 months. Now turning to our money circulate and stability sheet; in 2023 we generated $783 million of working money circulate which features a transition tax cost of $119 million paid in the second quarter. These tax funds will proceed to step as much as $160 million in 2024 and $200 million in 2025. I used to be happy with how effectively the group embraced a extra diligent strategy to free money circulate and capital expenditure administration. Capital expenditures have been $31 million in the fourth quarter and $148 million in 2023. Capital expenditures have been over 25% decrease than 2022 and 2021. We are going to stay vigilant on investing in the precise areas and shifting our brokers from massive signing bonuses to performance-driven fee constructions. Our sturdy free money circulate and disciplined expense administration allowed us to proceed to take care of a powerful stability sheet with money and money equivalents of $1.3 billion and debt of $2.5 billion. Our leverage ratio stays sturdy and we’re at 2.4x and 1.2x on a gross and internet foundation which gives us flexibility for potential M&A, whereas sustaining our investment-grade credit standing. This sturdy free money circulate additionally allowed us to return virtually $650 million to our shareholders in 2023 which included roughly $350 million in dividends and $300 million in share repurchases, together with $200 million in the fourth quarter. Now, transferring on to our outlook. Today, we offered our monetary outlook for 2024, reflecting present macroeconomic situations. We anticipate adjusted income to be in the vary of $4.1 billion to $4.2 billion. This vary displays continued growth in our branded digital enterprise, the continued stabilization of our retail enterprise and double-digit growth in our Consumer Services section, pushed by the developments in our ecosystem technique. We additionally anticipate Iraq to generate between $50 million and $100 million throughout the 12 months. We additionally anticipate adjusted working margins to be in the vary of 19% to 21% and we anticipate EPS to be in the vary of $1.65 to $1.75. Finally, we wish to present an replace on our 4 key efficiency indicators that we shared at our Investor Day. Starting with retention. In 2023, retail retention improved 70 foundation factors versus 2022. As we consider bettering retention is a essential part to our technique of reaching long-term sustainable growth throughout each our retail and digital channels. Starting this 12 months, we’ll report our complete shopper cash switch retention. Our long-term aspiration to enhance retention, 200 foundation factors yearly hasn’t modified. But we have discovered loads in 2023, together with the results of a downward stress that rising new prospects can drive. We additionally made good strides on bettering branded digital retention with a 120 foundation level enchancment in 2023. We continued to consider that buyer acquisition is a key metric in accelerating our growth of our branded digital enterprise to drive extra prospects to our digital platform and stay dedicated to rising this double digit yearly. In 2023, we grew buyer acquisition by 13% which was even greater on a cross-border foundation. Next, transferring to our omni-channel. At our Investor Day, we shared that this small buyer base was worthwhile to Western Union, producing 2.5x extra transactions than a single channel buyer. While we initially thought our omni-channel is a everlasting state for our prospects, we’ve got discovered that omni-channel largely serves the pass-through as they migrate between channels. Only 30% of our 2022 omni-channel prospects remained omni-channel on the finish of 2023 whereas retail to digital migration accounted for five% of our new branded digital prospects in 2023. We will proceed to concentrate on a seamless omni-channel buyer expertise and constructing an account-based relationship with our prospects as a substitute of a transactional one and consider that these advantages can be captured in different metrics. However, we’ll not report this metric going ahead as we consider it is not vital to our general enterprise. Lastly, at Investor Day, we shared our aim so as to add 100,000 digital banking prospects every month. However, since Investor Day, we’ve got shifted our focus from Neobank prospects to high-quality cross-border remittance prospects. Additionally, as Devin highlighted in the present day, our ecosystem technique consists of not solely a digital pockets but it surely’s broader and consists of an array of merchandise and providers, together with retail cash order, invoice funds, pay as you go playing cards, lending merchandise and overseas forex change. These outcomes can be immediately mirrored in the Consumer Services section and not our shopper cash switch section. We proceed to consider the advantages of those new merchandise and providers will drive not solely greater engagement however over time, will assist us enhance retention as we shift to an account-based relationship. As a outcome, our aim transferring ahead can be to develop our worthwhile Consumer Services section income double-digit yearly which higher displays the progress of our ecosystem technique. To recap, we’re happy with the progress we have made to date in our Evolve 2025 technique and we stay optimistic for the 12 months forward. Thank you for becoming a member of the decision in the present day and operator, we’re able to take questions.

Operator: [Operator Instructions] Our first query involves us from Will Nance from Goldman Sachs.

Will Nance: Maybe I can begin off with among the feedback that you simply made round omni-channel prospects. I do know you beforehand talked across the retail digital escalator over time. And I do know you are not specializing in having omni-channel prospects anymore. But I assume whenever you see these prospects get off the escalator, do you continue to see them transacting at a lot greater ranges? And is there any form of general change in your thought course of concerning the worth of those prospects?

Devin McGranahan: Hi Will, it is Devin. Indeed, you’re right. One of the explanations, as Matt highlighted, that we’re making this transformation is the true financial profit to us is that retail to digital escalator. And as Matt highlighted, 5% of our new prospects, digital prospects in 2023 or prior retail prospects, these prospects prove to have higher retention and stronger ARPUs than prospects that we purchase de novo as new to franchise digital prospects. So rising and rising our capability by way of omni-channel actions however the focus actually is on the escalator and much less on a pool of consumers who stay in each retail and digital. And, we predict it provides — effectively, it provides us a price profit benefit in phrases of our general CAC. And so our capability to proceed to develop the digital buyer base and utilizing the retail base as a feeder is a vital a part of the technique and can be mirrored in our capability to proceed to develop new digital prospects.

Will Nance: And then, simply perhaps a distinct query on among the steering and the form of the steering philosophy, significantly round reinvestment. Just a few knowledge factors that I’m choosing up, I assume, it got here a little bit bit forward of expectations on income. We noticed the bills come in a lot greater backside line form of roughly in line with expectations type of an analogous dynamic occurring in the complete 12 months information. I feel if we take a look at income ex Iraq, that is coming in a little bit bit decrease than perhaps what you beforehand talked about form of later final 12 months, we’re nonetheless seeing earnings general coming in roughly in line with expectations and the Iraq revenues form of serving to out. So, simply whenever you constructed that information, how did the incremental Iraqi revenues that perhaps you were not anticipating whenever you spoke to us in December how did that form of issue into the development of the information? Is there any conservatism in the general numbers to account for the uncertainty in Iraq? And did you guys make any incremental investments on the income aspect which will have impacted the ex-Iraq numbers in gentle of those incremental revenues?

Tom Hadley: Main focus we have got is clearly on the highest line and EPS. Sometimes you hit up the objects down in Other which in line makes additional investments when you received the precise factor to speculate in. But in your query about Iraq itself, we’ve got made a good bit of pricing actions throughout 2023 which have a carryover impact into 2024 in addition to we proceed to observe that. So that is been factored into our pondering right here the chance as we get into ’24, as we gave them the $50 million to $100 million vary, is barely greater than we might have thought again in December after we met or November, I feel it could have been really however not meaningfully greater. We simply knew we had a carryover impact of the actions we took this previous 12 months.

Devin McGranahan: It’s nonetheless a extremely unsure state of affairs. Our primary settlement associate has notified us that they won’t accept us for our money change, retail prospects in Iraq on the finish of the primary quarter. That’s a good portion of our quantity. And whereas we proceed to search for alternate options to that, we actually, I feel, have put into the information an affordable end result given the uncertainty of what could or could not transaction publish March.

Operator: Our subsequent query involves us from Andrew Schmidt from Citi.

Andrew Schmidt: This is only a higher-level query to begin off with. Obviously, you take a look at U.S. migration traits. Been fairly sturdy, just one market however clearly the most important outbound market in the world. I’m questioning to what extent you are seeing that present up in your outcomes? I do know that you simply talked about fairly optimistic, I feel, double-digit transaction growth in the impartial channel. And I do know it is a mixture of self-improvement initiatives additionally in there. But I’m curious to what extent you are seeing that optimistic remittance or I ought to say optimistic migration traits present up in your outcomes?

Devin McGranahan: Andrew, it is an awesome query. Thank you for becoming a member of the decision in the present day. We are seeing the profit. In reality, our enterprise is pushed by, as you recognize, two major components, general international macroeconomic growth and by migration. And so the elevated migration into North America over the past couple of years is benefiting, significantly these outbound corridors from the U.S. to sure areas in Latin America. And so we see double-digit transaction growth in these corridors on account of the migration. There’s much less of that when Matt was speaking concerning the improved transaction traits in retail in Europe, there’s been much less internet migration into Europe over the past 12 months or two. And so that’s extra of a results of form of ongoing efficiency enchancment enhancing the standard of our distribution community and our stronger go-to-market worth proposition there.

Matt Cagwin: Devin’s remark is — you are specializing in the particular query you requested however holistically, we consider the onerous work we’re doing with our brokers and our prospects are actually driving the progress we’re making. I feel we’ve got a modest tailwind as Devin simply described. But whenever you take a look at it, we’re now beginning to transfer from being a share donor to holding our fair proportion with a little bit little bit of tailwind from this.

Devin McGranahan: In Mexico is the right hall instance the place for a few years, we have been in all probability dropping share U.S. to Mexico. In the final 12 months, we have returned again to rising share in that vital hall. And clearly, it is in a hall that the Central Bank of Mexico publishes is rising in the mid- to excessive single digits year-over-year.

Andrew Schmidt: And then, if I may dig into simply the branded digital transaction growth up 13% this quarter. And I do know you elaborated on this a little bit bit however when you may break down simply the drivers of that, whether or not it is new buyer growth, whether or not it is retention, whether or not it is conduct, transactions per buyer, any further simply the disaggregation of that may be useful simply so we will get a greater understanding of the underlying mechanics of that transaction growth.

Matt Cagwin: I imply actually, it is all three. I highlighted just a few of the elements in again into the third however I highlighted in the metrics dialog on the finish that our retention has improved and branded digital by 110 foundation factors in 2023. We’ve additionally highlighted that we proceed to develop our new prospects in the double-digit vary, full 12 months was 13%. And then we’re seeing a little bit little bit of an uptick in transactions per buyer however that is the decrease the three [ph].

Operator: We’re going to return to Vasu Govil [ph].

Unidentified Analyst: Hopefully, you guys can hear me this time. I assume my first query for you, Devin, on the digital pockets technique. traditionally, you have been targeted on type of positioning that pockets to drive extra retention and engagement. And I feel in the present day, the outline you guys gave, it appeared such as you have been focusing a little bit bit on the income potential there as effectively. Is {that a} honest learn?

Devin McGranahan: Vasu, I would barely reframe that. We are specializing in rising income from our general ecosystem technique. And we consider that, that is a vital metric to gauge our capability to return Western Union to worthwhile income growth as a part of our Evolve 2025 technique. A part of that’s, in reality, rising our digital pockets which we consider will primarily profit retention as it’s a extra account-based relationship and thus will drive elevated income by way of decrease buyer churn and clearly, the elevated ARPU from prolonged prospects. So whereas we nonetheless have a powerful concentrate on rising our digital pockets, we’re doing so extra with a concentrate on our remittance enterprise and on driving retention with our digital remittance prospects by them having extra of an account-based relationship which we consider will drive income of ancillary merchandise and providers, together with interchange, together with invoice cost, together with different providers which can be obtainable digitally in the pockets that is not obtainable in our conventional transaction cross-border remittance platform.

Unidentified Analyst: And then a fast one for you, Matt. I used to be questioning on the margin steering for 2024 when you may assist us a little bit bit about what to anticipate for the cadence all year long.

Matt Cagwin: It’s going to bounce round, it’ll be not linear. We saved the steering of the ’19 to ’21 [ph] as a result of we predict as income accelerates as to offer us incremental worthwhile income growth is you have got alternative to make investments that may pull it down. Our aim is to hit the quantity all through the complete 12 months however any given quarter can bounce round. I can not actually information to that at this level.

Operator: Our subsequent query involves us from Tien-Tsin Huang from JPMorgan.

Tien-Tsin Huang: I simply need to ask on the client additions. I do know it is trending properly with double digits but additionally the acquisition value has been decrease. How do you anticipate these two dynamics to development right here in ’24 forward? Can we rely on acquisition prices staying decrease? Or is there a possible to perhaps flip that down otherwise?

Matt Cagwin: I feel we noticed an additional alternative. As Devin talked about earlier, we’ve got generative AI, we’re engaged on. We’ve performed some issues round robotics. Bob, who leads that group has been with the corporate now for 18 months and he is persevering with so as to add expertise into the group. So we predict there’s additional alternative as we improve that so far as we’re rolling out incremental or new digital platform in totally different international locations that may present further alternatives. So we do not see stress on that. I can not say it’ll be the identical degree of discount in 2024 that we did in ’23 however we do see alternative to maintain making enhancements there.

Devin McGranahan: Tianjin [ph], one of many issues we speak loads about which is our capability to scale at cost-effective tax all over the world, proper? And so in some markets which can be exceptionally effectively developed, just like the U.S., the crew has performed a really good job of that, what you see in the sturdy buyer growth in the aside transaction ranges that we noticed final 12 months. As we work our means all over the world, rising our capabilities to scale advertising acquisition and to do it cheaply can be one in all our priorities in 2024.

Tien-Tsin Huang: Just my final follow-up, simply the Consumer Services, expectations for double-digit growth once more in ’24. Should different elements going to be totally different? I do know there’s flowed [ph] and different issues to contemplate however something to name on the market or rank the larger contributors?

Matt Cagwin: Yes. So I feel as you concentrate on this 12 months and final 12 months, the overwhelming majority of the growth has come by way of our legacy merchandise that we had there, invoice pay and cash order. As you highlighted, there’s been a little bit little bit of a tailwind from greater rates of interest. We do have a comparatively reasonable time period as we disclosed might be about 4, 4.5 years is the period for our investments there. So be ok with 24% for the place we’re in curiosity. Devin has talked about in these calls, the variety of new merchandise we put there, whether or not it’s pay as you go, ForEx, revamping our cash order enterprise and so forth. As you get in 2024 and past, we predict that we’ll begin seeing a bigger portion of our growth coming from these new product additions.

Operator: Our subsequent query involves us from Darrin Peller from Wolfe Research.

Darrin Peller: I assume my query is admittedly extra round simply the development line. Devin, I linked your remark concerning the narrowing between the transaction growth traits which we have seen bettering constantly and the income growth traits which continues to be — I imply, when you calculate the Iraq and Argentina affect, nonetheless, I feel, round destructive 4% unchanged. So you have seen transactions enhance, income looks as if there’s going to be a lag to it however you probably did touch upon the narrowing. So are you able to simply get a little bit extra element on that as a result of I feel that is the crux of what I do know we and some buyers are on the lookout for to observe on from the apparent enhancements you are having in the transaction aspect of the enterprise?

Devin McGranahan: Hi Darrin, certainly we’re intently monitoring that hole. And I feel we have talked about three issues in the previous which I’ll reiterate. One, our long-term aspiration is to take care of the ratio between transactions and income to be a 200 to 300 foundation level hole as we form of proceed to evolve our enterprise. And so our aim is to get income as much as attain that 200 to 300 foundation level hole throughout the period of our Evolve 2025 technique. The second is the best way we rolled out, significantly on the digital aspect but additionally on the retail aspect, our revised go-to-market technique which was form of on a region-by-region foundation create some lumpiness as to the way you see that hole shut due to the results of the brand new area rolling into it. As I commented on the general public ready notes, we can be lapping not less than on the digital aspect, each the North American and European which is the preponderance of our digital enterprise by the tip of this quarter. So the acceleration in closing the GAAP will — the GAAP closure will speed up in the second half of this 12 months. And then third, we’re persevering with to iterate as we go throughout segments, geographies and channels. And in order we have all the time mentioned, we compete in numerous totally different locations all over the world. So we’ll proceed to optimize. But our aim actually is to shut that hole and to shut it over the course of the period of our technique.

Darrin Peller: I assume only one fast follow-up could be across the — is there any learn on retention metrics on cohorts you gained through the promotional efforts now over the past 12 months or so in the U.S.? It’s simply — once more, it seems prefer it’s nice to see the transaction traits. Just curious to know a little bit extra on the places and takes of internet new versus retention.

Matt Cagwin: We’ve highlighted, in all probability it has been two quarters now however we proceed to see sturdy outcomes in the 90-day, 180-day retention for the newer cohorts are coming in by way of promotional pricing. It’s pushed by way of the reengagement campaigns we have talked about in previous calls, having higher market-based pricing, extra streamlined transaction processing in addition to we’re beginning to goal corporations which can be doing ATM transactions which have the next retention fee as effectively and we proceed to see a excessive 20s, low 30% growth fee in our APN enterprise, each in the retail and digital aspect.

Devin McGranahan: APN being payout to account. The different factor, I feel, Darrin, you may take a look at Matt talked concerning the 110 foundation level enchancment in digital transactions year-over-year. That is the composition of our historical past, i.e., the gathered guide and as you recognize, as prospects tenure in this class, retention goes up. So we have been rising new prospects aggressively. But rising the general retention of the guide which says one thing concerning the high quality of the brand new prospects and the retention in that subset of the portfolio in order to attain that.

Operator: Our subsequent query involves us from Ken Suchoski from Autonomous.

Ken Suchoski: I simply needed to ask a pair on the bodily retail enterprise and perhaps we will exclude Iraq simply to strip out among the noise. The income per transaction in that a part of the enterprise has declined over the past handful of quarters. So I used to be questioning when you may speak about what’s inflicting that income per transaction decline in bodily retail ex-Iraq? And then, it seems like over the previous couple of quarters, pricing changes have been wanted to speed up transaction growth in that a part of the enterprise. So do you suppose your — do you suppose the decrease pricing in that bodily retail ex Iraq is type of behind you? Or do you’re feeling like you could be extra aggressive on that entrance to speed up transaction growth even additional into — as you go all year long?

Matt Cagwin: Ken, thanks very a lot for the query. As you concentrate on the change in RPT ex Iraq over the past, name it, 12 months, about 2/3 of that’s actually combine pushed and you have got concerning the remaining portion being extra acutely aware value reductions that we have performed. We’ve began doing a little exams, we talked about in the final name in a big European nation the place we modified our FX yields a number of instances all through the day to be aggressive which is driving pricing. We’ve performed another exams all over the world that we have now saved everlasting for a lot of of them. So it is a little bit little bit of a mixture of each of combine and acutely aware choice to drive efficiency. But one which we’ll spotlight you have seen in our charts each this quarter’s previous, you may see enhancements in our transaction traits previous to type of push in value adjustments in Q2 and Q3 as we have been beginning to do further work with our brokers and our prospects on each the product aspect and customer support. So to us, we consider that actually all three parts are making a distinction. It’s not a battle about value solely, it is a matter of getting market aggressive costs with nice service, nice product. As far as the long run, we’re all the time going to be adjusting the market, trying what opponents do. So — however we’re dedicated to our steering.

Ken Suchoski: And then, what is the expectation round income growth in the bodily retail enterprise in 2024, I assume, together with and excluding Iraq? Because it seems such as you’ll begin to lap among the Iraq income contribution in the primary quarter of this 12 months.

Matt Cagwin: Yes. So once more, we’re not going to provide out steering on the section degree actually for many issues.

Operator: Our subsequent query involves us from Tyler DuPont (NYSE:) from Bank of America.

Tyler DuPont: I needed to first contact on the present geopolitical occasions in the Middle East. Given your geographic footprint, not particular to Israel or something however type of the regional change in cash switch volumes or combine between retail and digital or simply another dynamics which can be value contemplating that have not been talked about to date?

Devin McGranahan: We’ve seen very — clearly, general volumes in the area are down however they have not gone to zero and there’s been little change in phrases of the combo of retail and digital. It’s predominantly a retail setting in that a part of the world. We proceed to observe it however the general area itself is comparatively small relative to our complete enterprise. So we’re extra involved concerning the lives of the folks, defending our brokers, our workers and hoping that the battle ends shortly than the financial impacts for our enterprise.

Tyler DuPont: And then, simply as a follow-up; I consider you talked about in the ready remarks that buyer acquisition value declined by round 15% in the 12 months. Can you converse to how the corporate’s LTV to CAC has advanced all through 2023? And the way you anticipate this metric will proceed to evolve by way of 2024, significantly as we’re shifting the mindset from extra of an omni-channel focus to promoting shopper providers to simply type of the dynamics there and any items to the puzzle value noting?

Matt Cagwin: If you concentrate on it, we have highlighted a few key drivers of that math. We’ve talked about the truth that our digital retention has improved by 110 foundation factors. That’s pushing the life out longer for historic prospects over earlier than making this transformation. We’ve lowered our charges to some extent. And then we have clearly lowered our CAC. Holistically, it is about the identical because it was earlier than for these transferring components.

Devin McGranahan: And I’d add two issues to it. As you recognize, after we launched this program which is now 18 months into this system. We made the express shift which right here to earlier than, we had not managed to which was to a goal LTV to CAC aim. And so we have maintained that aim all through this system. And as both LTV or CAC alter, we alter accordingly in phrases of our advertising spend and our capability to drive new packages into {the marketplace}. And in order LTV goes up, that allows us to spend extra, as CAC cat goes down, that allows us to spend extra. And clearly, in reverse, hopefully, that will not occur but when it did, then we might spend much less.

Operator: Our subsequent query involves us from Ramsey El Assal from Barclays. Please ask your query. Our subsequent query in the queue involves us from James Fawcett from Morgan Stanley. Please ask your query. Our subsequent query involves us from Jamie Freeman from SIT. Please ask your query. We don’t have any further questions in the queue at the moment.

Tom Hadley: Thank you for becoming a member of the Western Union Fourth Quarter 2023 Results Conference Call. We hope you have got an awesome day.

This article was generated with the assist of AI and reviewed by an editor. For extra info see our T&C.

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